Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 1, with a 99.5% implied probability, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data and short-range forecast models confirming a midday peak of 22°C at key stations like Taoyuan International Airport and Songshan. Persistent cloud cover and a stable cool air mass have suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C, as seen in recent hourly readings stabilizing around 21–22°C before a late-afternoon cooldown. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and strong insolation in the final hours—unlikely given current overcast conditions and light winds—but final CWA evening reports will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
24°C <1%
$130,216 Vol.
$130,216 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
22°C
99%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.4%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
24°C <1%
$130,216 Vol.
$130,216 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
22°C
$20,795 Vol.
99%
23°C
$7,816 Vol.
1%
24°C
$6,333 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$9,880 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 1, with a 99.5% implied probability, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data and short-range forecast models confirming a midday peak of 22°C at key stations like Taoyuan International Airport and Songshan. Persistent cloud cover and a stable cool air mass have suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C, as seen in recent hourly readings stabilizing around 21–22°C before a late-afternoon cooldown. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and strong insolation in the final hours—unlikely given current overcast conditions and light winds—but final CWA evening reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$130,216End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 1, with a 99.5% implied probability, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data and short-range forecast models confirming a midday peak of 22°C at key stations like Taoyuan International Airport and Songshan. Persistent cloud cover and a stable cool air mass have suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C, as seen in recent hourly readings stabilizing around 21–22°C before a late-afternoon cooldown. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and strong insolation in the final hours—unlikely given current overcast conditions and light winds—but final CWA evening reports will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$130,216End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Taipei's highest temperature on April 1, with a 99.5% implied probability, driven by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data and short-range forecast models confirming a midday peak of 22°C at key stations like Taoyuan International Airport and Songshan. Persistent cloud cover and a stable cool air mass have suppressed solar heating, keeping daytime highs below April's climatological average of 24–25°C, as seen in recent hourly readings stabilizing around 21–22°C before a late-afternoon cooldown. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing and strong insolation in the final hours—unlikely given current overcast conditions and light winds—but final CWA evening reports will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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