Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C on March 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall, as forecasted by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau with yellow warnings for gales and heavy rain issued early that morning, capped daytime heating despite earlier monthly warmth exceeding 30°C in spots. This aligns with typical late-March variability in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, where averages hover around 23°C highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from China Meteorological Administration records, though airport readings are standard and final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 30?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$204,442 Vol.
$204,442 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$204,442 Vol.
$204,442 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport meteorological station—the market's authoritative resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 27°C on March 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall, as forecasted by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau with yellow warnings for gales and heavy rain issued early that morning, capped daytime heating despite earlier monthly warmth exceeding 30°C in spots. This aligns with typical late-March variability in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate, where averages hover around 23°C highs. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from China Meteorological Administration records, though airport readings are standard and final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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