Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG) in Panama City, Panama—the market's designated resolution station—recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on April 3, 2026, per Weather Underground's finalized hourly data, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-zero for 37°C or higher. This aligns with Panama City's tropical maritime climate, where early April averages feature highs near 32–33°C under persistent trade winds, high humidity above 70%, and low precipitation risk, as confirmed by clear skies and light southerly flow that day. Model forecasts like GFS and ECMWF had converged on mid-30s Celsius peaks prior to the event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from preliminary to quality-controlled reports by Panama's meteorological agency, though market rules disregard post-finalization changes; otherwise, the reading stands firm absent measurement errors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 3?
33°C 100.0%
32°C 25%
29°C 5.5%
27°C or below <1%
$12,168 Vol.
$12,168 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C 25%
29°C 5.5%
27°C or below <1%
$12,168 Vol.
$12,168 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport (MPMG) in Panama City, Panama—the market's designated resolution station—recorded a maximum temperature of 33°C on April 3, 2026, per Weather Underground's finalized hourly data, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome and near-zero for 37°C or higher. This aligns with Panama City's tropical maritime climate, where early April averages feature highs near 32–33°C under persistent trade winds, high humidity above 70%, and low precipitation risk, as confirmed by clear skies and light southerly flow that day. Model forecasts like GFS and ECMWF had converged on mid-30s Celsius peaks prior to the event, with minimal divergence. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from preliminary to quality-controlled reports by Panama's meteorological agency, though market rules disregard post-finalization changes; otherwise, the reading stands firm absent measurement errors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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