Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which project Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 15-17°C under a building high-pressure ridge bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. The 16°C outcome leads at 25% implied probability due to the median model guidance of 16°C maxima, with slight ensemble spread—driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact ridge positioning—favoring nearby outcomes at 21% each for 15°C and 17°C. Historical early-April averages hover near 13°C, but current mild air mass advection elevates expectations above climatology. Watch DWD's next 12-hour update and GFS refresh for potential refinements ahead of resolution via Munich Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 8?
16°C 22%
17°C 21%
18°C 17%
15°C 17%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
17%
16°C
25%
17°C
21%
18°C
17%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
10%
16°C 22%
17°C 21%
18°C 17%
15°C 17%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
17%
16°C
25%
17°C
21%
18°C
17%
19°C
11%
20°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON model and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, which project Munich's highest temperature on April 8 clustering around 15-17°C under a building high-pressure ridge bringing mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds. The 16°C outcome leads at 25% implied probability due to the median model guidance of 16°C maxima, with slight ensemble spread—driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, and exact ridge positioning—favoring nearby outcomes at 21% each for 15°C and 17°C. Historical early-April averages hover near 13°C, but current mild air mass advection elevates expectations above climatology. Watch DWD's next 12-hour update and GFS refresh for potential refinements ahead of resolution via Munich Airport observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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