Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid a tight cluster (14–17°C outcomes totaling ~62%). Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model runs show a warming trend from current frosty conditions (highs near 10°C on April 2), driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flows and highs clustering in the mid-teens Celsius. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could limit peaks to 14–15°C, while afternoon clearing might push toward 16–17°C or higher (18°C in some meteoblue projections). Climatological averages for early April hover around 13°C, tempering extremes; watch daily DWD updates for frontal timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 6?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 6?
14°C 26%
16°C 16%
17°C 14%
15°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
8%
13°C
8%
14°C
26%
15°C
23%
16°C
16%
17°C
14%
18°C
10%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
5%
14°C 26%
16°C 16%
17°C 14%
15°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 6, 2026
10°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
11°C
$591 Vol.
1%
12°C
$6 Vol.
8%
13°C
$6 Vol.
8%
14°C
$54 Vol.
26%
15°C
$56 Vol.
23%
16°C
$16 Vol.
16%
17°C
$33 Vol.
14%
18°C
$6 Vol.
10%
19°C
$11 Vol.
7%
20°C or higher
$56 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid a tight cluster (14–17°C outcomes totaling ~62%). Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model runs show a warming trend from current frosty conditions (highs near 10°C on April 2), driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flows and highs clustering in the mid-teens Celsius. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could limit peaks to 14–15°C, while afternoon clearing might push toward 16–17°C or higher (18°C in some meteoblue projections). Climatological averages for early April hover around 13°C, tempering extremes; watch daily DWD updates for frontal timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,124End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid a tight cluster (14–17°C outcomes totaling ~62%). Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model runs show a warming trend from current frosty conditions (highs near 10°C on April 2), driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flows and highs clustering in the mid-teens Celsius. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could limit peaks to 14–15°C, while afternoon clearing might push toward 16–17°C or higher (18°C in some meteoblue projections). Climatological averages for early April hover around 13°C, tempering extremes; watch daily DWD updates for frontal timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,124End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecast ensembles for Munich's highest temperature on April 6, with 14°C leading at 24% implied probability amid a tight cluster (14–17°C outcomes totaling ~62%). Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model runs show a warming trend from current frosty conditions (highs near 10°C on April 2), driven by a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly flows and highs clustering in the mid-teens Celsius. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—persistent overcast could limit peaks to 14–15°C, while afternoon clearing might push toward 16–17°C or higher (18°C in some meteoblue projections). Climatological averages for early April hover around 13°C, tempering extremes; watch daily DWD updates for frontal timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions