Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts imply a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving Munich's highest temperature on April 5 toward 20-23°C, well above the early April climatological average of 12-13°C, with increased insolation from partly cloudy skies boosting boundary layer heating. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with 21°C and 22°C leading at similar implied probabilities amid ensemble spread: greater afternoon clearing favors 22-23°C, while variable low-level clouds or southerly flow could cap peaks at 19-20°C. Key differentiators include precise timing of shortwave perturbations and soil moisture feedbacks affecting sensible heat flux. Watch tomorrow's 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and DWD bulletins for refinements, as 4-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
22°C 23%
21°C 23%
19°C 17%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
17%
20°C
14%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
14%
24°C or higher
9%
22°C 23%
21°C 23%
19°C 17%
20°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Apr 5, 2026
14°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$154 Vol.
1%
16°C
$62 Vol.
1%
17°C
$65 Vol.
4%
18°C
$144 Vol.
10%
19°C
$78 Vol.
17%
20°C
$61 Vol.
14%
21°C
$46 Vol.
23%
22°C
$84 Vol.
23%
23°C
$51 Vol.
14%
24°C or higher
$42 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts imply a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving Munich's highest temperature on April 5 toward 20-23°C, well above the early April climatological average of 12-13°C, with increased insolation from partly cloudy skies boosting boundary layer heating. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with 21°C and 22°C leading at similar implied probabilities amid ensemble spread: greater afternoon clearing favors 22-23°C, while variable low-level clouds or southerly flow could cap peaks at 19-20°C. Key differentiators include precise timing of shortwave perturbations and soil moisture feedbacks affecting sensible heat flux. Watch tomorrow's 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and DWD bulletins for refinements, as 4-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$964End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts imply a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving Munich's highest temperature on April 5 toward 20-23°C, well above the early April climatological average of 12-13°C, with increased insolation from partly cloudy skies boosting boundary layer heating. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with 21°C and 22°C leading at similar implied probabilities amid ensemble spread: greater afternoon clearing favors 22-23°C, while variable low-level clouds or southerly flow could cap peaks at 19-20°C. Key differentiators include precise timing of shortwave perturbations and soil moisture feedbacks affecting sensible heat flux. Watch tomorrow's 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and DWD bulletins for refinements, as 4-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$964End Date
Apr 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts imply a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe driving Munich's highest temperature on April 5 toward 20-23°C, well above the early April climatological average of 12-13°C, with increased insolation from partly cloudy skies boosting boundary layer heating. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement, with 21°C and 22°C leading at similar implied probabilities amid ensemble spread: greater afternoon clearing favors 22-23°C, while variable low-level clouds or southerly flow could cap peaks at 19-20°C. Key differentiators include precise timing of shortwave perturbations and soil moisture feedbacks affecting sensible heat flux. Watch tomorrow's 00Z GFS/ECMWF updates and DWD bulletins for refinements, as 4-day forecasts carry ±2-3°C uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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