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Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?

11°C 40%

10°C 24%

12°C 20%

9°C 14%

Polymarket

$17,547 Vol.

11°C 40%

10°C 24%

12°C 20%

9°C 14%

Polymarket

$17,547 Vol.

4°C or below

$3,436 Vol.

<1%

5°C

$987 Vol.

<1%

6°C

$1,518 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$1,273 Vol.

1%

8°C

$1,488 Vol.

3%

9°C

$1,306 Vol.

14%

10°C

$1,525 Vol.

24%

11°C

$1,816 Vol.

40%

12°C

$1,543 Vol.

20%

13°C

$1,282 Vol.

6%

14°C or higher

$1,379 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 11°C on April 2, aligning closely with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) aviation forecast and ECMWF model runs via yr.no and BBC Weather, which project daytime highs near 11°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 3-6 m/s. This positioning stems from overnight updates showing a drying trend after early showers, with the freezing level rising to 3500-4000 ft AMSL by afternoon, reducing cloud-induced cooling. Current April 1 observations at Munich Airport confirm chilly starts near 0°C, consistent with early spring climatology averaging 11-12°C highs but tempered by recent cool continental air. Key uncertainties include persistent stratocumulus cover potentially capping at 10°C (25.5% odds); watch DWD's next short-range update and airport hourly data for resolution shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,547
End Date
Apr 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature reaching 11°C on April 2, aligning closely with the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) aviation forecast and ECMWF model runs via yr.no and BBC Weather, which project daytime highs near 11°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds of 3-6 m/s. This positioning stems from overnight updates showing a drying trend after early showers, with the freezing level rising to 3500-4000 ft AMSL by afternoon, reducing cloud-induced cooling. Current April 1 observations at Munich Airport confirm chilly starts near 0°C, consistent with early spring climatology averaging 11-12°C highs but tempered by recent cool continental air. Key uncertainties include persistent stratocumulus cover potentially capping at 10°C (25.5% odds); watch DWD's next short-range update and airport hourly data for resolution shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,547
End Date
Apr 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 40%, followed by "10°C" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?" has generated $17.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?" is "11°C" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10°C" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Munich on April 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.