National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate Miami's highest temperature on April 3 will likely fall in the 80-83°F range at Miami International Airport, fueling the tight trader contest between 82-83°F (37.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). Persistent easterly winds around 10-15 mph under a weak high-pressure ridge support above-average warmth—historical April 3 highs average 82°F—but sea-breeze development timing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1-2°F uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if onshore flow strengthens early. NOAA updates expected daily through April 2 could refine guidance amid low precipitation risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 3?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 12%
$10,931 Vol.
$10,931 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 12%
$10,931 Vol.
$10,931 Vol.
Apr 3, 2026
71°F or below
$2,111 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,155 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$820 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$892 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$1,144 Vol.
17%
80-81°F
$895 Vol.
32%
82-83°F
$1,187 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$562 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$514 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$564 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate Miami's highest temperature on April 3 will likely fall in the 80-83°F range at Miami International Airport, fueling the tight trader contest between 82-83°F (37.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). Persistent easterly winds around 10-15 mph under a weak high-pressure ridge support above-average warmth—historical April 3 highs average 82°F—but sea-breeze development timing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1-2°F uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if onshore flow strengthens early. NOAA updates expected daily through April 2 could refine guidance amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Volume
$10,931End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate Miami's highest temperature on April 3 will likely fall in the 80-83°F range at Miami International Airport, fueling the tight trader contest between 82-83°F (37.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). Persistent easterly winds around 10-15 mph under a weak high-pressure ridge support above-average warmth—historical April 3 highs average 82°F—but sea-breeze development timing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1-2°F uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if onshore flow strengthens early. NOAA updates expected daily through April 2 could refine guidance amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,931End Date
Apr 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate Miami's highest temperature on April 3 will likely fall in the 80-83°F range at Miami International Airport, fueling the tight trader contest between 82-83°F (37.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (32.5%). Persistent easterly winds around 10-15 mph under a weak high-pressure ridge support above-average warmth—historical April 3 highs average 82°F—but sea-breeze development timing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds introduce 1-2°F uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 80-81°F if onshore flow strengthens early. NOAA updates expected daily through April 2 could refine guidance amid low precipitation risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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