Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80-81°F (49.5% implied probability) for Miami's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks near 79-81°F at Miami International Airport under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Easterly winds at 10-15 mph and partial cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating slightly below the April climatological normal of 82°F, with minimal precipitation risk. Recent 24-hour forecast updates show slight upward tweaks from prior runs due to reduced cloudiness forecasts, boosting the 80-81°F bin over 78-79°F (26.5%). Overnight model refreshes and morning observations could refine these odds further, amid ENSO-neutral conditions supporting typical early spring patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 2?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 3.9%
$30,816 Vol.
$30,816 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 3.9%
$30,816 Vol.
$30,816 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 80-81°F (49.5% implied probability) for Miami's highest temperature on April 2, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks near 79-81°F at Miami International Airport under a persistent high-pressure ridge. Easterly winds at 10-15 mph and partial cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating slightly below the April climatological normal of 82°F, with minimal precipitation risk. Recent 24-hour forecast updates show slight upward tweaks from prior runs due to reduced cloudiness forecasts, boosting the 80-81°F bin over 78-79°F (26.5%). Overnight model refreshes and morning observations could refine these odds further, amid ENSO-neutral conditions supporting typical early spring patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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