National Weather Service forecasts project highs of 79-82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 1 under a dominant surface high pressure ridge, fueling trader consensus with 55% implied probability for 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Light east winds around 10 mph and developing sea breeze onshore flow cap peak heating despite partly sunny skies, while low-level moisture introduces a slight chance of morning showers or thunderstorms that could temper maxima. Recent overnight GFS and ECMWF runs refined cloud cover estimates downward from prior projections, nudging odds toward the low 80s while 78-79°F holds 26.5% on climatological normals near 81°F for early April. Monitor hourly METAR observations at KMIA for resolution, as afternoon convection remains a key uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 55%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 2.0%
$158,840 Vol.
$158,840 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
55%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 55%
78-79°F 21%
82-83°F 14%
76-77°F 2.0%
$158,840 Vol.
$158,840 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
74-75°F
$12,566 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$17,862 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$11,597 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$11,518 Vol.
55%
82-83°F
$12,918 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$10,542 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$6,792 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$11,803 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$13,610 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$23,256 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project highs of 79-82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 1 under a dominant surface high pressure ridge, fueling trader consensus with 55% implied probability for 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Light east winds around 10 mph and developing sea breeze onshore flow cap peak heating despite partly sunny skies, while low-level moisture introduces a slight chance of morning showers or thunderstorms that could temper maxima. Recent overnight GFS and ECMWF runs refined cloud cover estimates downward from prior projections, nudging odds toward the low 80s while 78-79°F holds 26.5% on climatological normals near 81°F for early April. Monitor hourly METAR observations at KMIA for resolution, as afternoon convection remains a key uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Volume
$158,840End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project highs of 79-82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 1 under a dominant surface high pressure ridge, fueling trader consensus with 55% implied probability for 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Light east winds around 10 mph and developing sea breeze onshore flow cap peak heating despite partly sunny skies, while low-level moisture introduces a slight chance of morning showers or thunderstorms that could temper maxima. Recent overnight GFS and ECMWF runs refined cloud cover estimates downward from prior projections, nudging odds toward the low 80s while 78-79°F holds 26.5% on climatological normals near 81°F for early April. Monitor hourly METAR observations at KMIA for resolution, as afternoon convection remains a key uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$158,840End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project highs of 79-82°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA) on April 1 under a dominant surface high pressure ridge, fueling trader consensus with 55% implied probability for 80-81°F as the leading outcome. Light east winds around 10 mph and developing sea breeze onshore flow cap peak heating despite partly sunny skies, while low-level moisture introduces a slight chance of morning showers or thunderstorms that could temper maxima. Recent overnight GFS and ECMWF runs refined cloud cover estimates downward from prior projections, nudging odds toward the low 80s while 78-79°F holds 26.5% on climatological normals near 81°F for early April. Monitor hourly METAR observations at KMIA for resolution, as afternoon convection remains a key uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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