Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 70-76°F for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 8, reflecting National Weather Service model ensembles showing highs near 72°F amid a weakening high-pressure ridge over the region. Recent Santa Ana winds—ramping up April 4 with gusts to 45 mph—have driven current highs near 85°F, but forecasts indicate subsiding offshore flow and strengthening onshore breezes by midweek, fostering marine layer development that caps daytime heating. Key differentiators include wind persistence: sustained offshore flow favors 74-76°F or higher via adiabatic warming and clear skies, while earlier marine stratus return tilts toward 70-71°F. New 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs expected today could refine this uncertainty before resolution via official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 8?
76°F or higher 26%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 18%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76°F or higher
32%
76°F or higher 26%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 18%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
18%
76°F or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 70-76°F for downtown Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 8, reflecting National Weather Service model ensembles showing highs near 72°F amid a weakening high-pressure ridge over the region. Recent Santa Ana winds—ramping up April 4 with gusts to 45 mph—have driven current highs near 85°F, but forecasts indicate subsiding offshore flow and strengthening onshore breezes by midweek, fostering marine layer development that caps daytime heating. Key differentiators include wind persistence: sustained offshore flow favors 74-76°F or higher via adiabatic warming and clear skies, while earlier marine stratus return tilts toward 70-71°F. New 12Z GFS/ECMWF runs expected today could refine this uncertainty before resolution via official observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions