Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1 (99.8% implied probability), driven by observational data from the Jiangbei International Airport station showing morning lows of 13–15°C amid persistent overcast skies that severely limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Short-term forecasts from meteorological models, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a capped maximum around 21°C due to thick cloud layers and light southerly flows introducing cooler air, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average 20–23°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 22°C or higher, or station-specific measurement variations, though low-level winds and humidity favor stability; final Wunderground data will resolve post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
21°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$139,484 Vol.
$139,484 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$139,484 Vol.
$139,484 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
21°C
$37,794 Vol.
100%
22°C
$15,286 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10,092 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8,727 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$28,599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1 (99.8% implied probability), driven by observational data from the Jiangbei International Airport station showing morning lows of 13–15°C amid persistent overcast skies that severely limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Short-term forecasts from meteorological models, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a capped maximum around 21°C due to thick cloud layers and light southerly flows introducing cooler air, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average 20–23°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 22°C or higher, or station-specific measurement variations, though low-level winds and humidity favor stability; final Wunderground data will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$139,484End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1 (99.8% implied probability), driven by observational data from the Jiangbei International Airport station showing morning lows of 13–15°C amid persistent overcast skies that severely limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Short-term forecasts from meteorological models, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a capped maximum around 21°C due to thick cloud layers and light southerly flows introducing cooler air, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average 20–23°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 22°C or higher, or station-specific measurement variations, though low-level winds and humidity favor stability; final Wunderground data will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$139,484End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 21°C as Chongqing's highest temperature on April 1 (99.8% implied probability), driven by observational data from the Jiangbei International Airport station showing morning lows of 13–15°C amid persistent overcast skies that severely limit solar insolation and daytime heating. Short-term forecasts from meteorological models, aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project a capped maximum around 21°C due to thick cloud layers and light southerly flows introducing cooler air, consistent with early April climatology where historical highs average 20–23°C but cloud-induced suppression is common. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar warming to 22°C or higher, or station-specific measurement variations, though low-level winds and humidity favor stability; final Wunderground data will resolve post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions