Official observational data from the Ministro Pistarini International Airport station in Ezeiza, Buenos Aires—sourced via Weather Underground—records the highest air temperature of exactly 30°C on March 30, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event consensus from GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles, which projected daytime highs around 30°C amid partly cloudy conditions, moderate southerly winds, and high humidity boosting heat index above 33°C without further intensification. March climatology typically sees highs near 25°C, but recent upper-air patterns enabled this mild peak. Realistic challenges include data disputes from sensor audits revealing higher readings, though rigorous quality controls and market dispute window make revisions improbable. Final resolution pending closure of review period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 30?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 30?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$96,469 Vol.
$96,469 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$96,469 Vol.
$96,469 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observational data from the Ministro Pistarini International Airport station in Ezeiza, Buenos Aires—sourced via Weather Underground—records the highest air temperature of exactly 30°C on March 30, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with pre-event consensus from GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles, which projected daytime highs around 30°C amid partly cloudy conditions, moderate southerly winds, and high humidity boosting heat index above 33°C without further intensification. March climatology typically sees highs near 25°C, but recent upper-air patterns enabled this mild peak. Realistic challenges include data disputes from sensor audits revealing higher readings, though rigorous quality controls and market dispute window make revisions improbable. Final resolution pending closure of review period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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