Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, 2026, when it launched rockets and missiles in response to the Iran-Israel war, targeting IDF positions, bases, and northern settlements with barrages, drones, and artillery. Overnight into March 29, a Hezbollah rocket attack killed one Israeli-American soldier and wounded three others in southern Lebanon, while the group claimed 32 operations in the prior 24 hours. Israel countered with airstrikes, including one on March 28 killing three journalists in southern Lebanon. With over 400 Hezbollah fighters reported killed and no ceasefire negotiations, traders monitor daily IDF and Hezbollah statements for escalation or de-escalation amid broader regional involvement from Houthis and Iran.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$1,672,133 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 22
100%
March 29
89%
March 30
89%
March 31
87%
$1,672,133 Vol.
March 22
$1,577,680 Vol.
100%
March 29
$5,373 Vol.
89%
March 30
$3,727 Vol.
89%
March 31
$1,964 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, 2026, when it launched rockets and missiles in response to the Iran-Israel war, targeting IDF positions, bases, and northern settlements with barrages, drones, and artillery. Overnight into March 29, a Hezbollah rocket attack killed one Israeli-American soldier and wounded three others in southern Lebanon, while the group claimed 32 operations in the prior 24 hours. Israel countered with airstrikes, including one on March 28 killing three journalists in southern Lebanon. With over 400 Hezbollah fighters reported killed and no ceasefire negotiations, traders monitor daily IDF and Hezbollah statements for escalation or de-escalation amid broader regional involvement from Houthis and Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,672,133End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, 2026, when it launched rockets and missiles in response to the Iran-Israel war, targeting IDF positions, bases, and northern settlements with barrages, drones, and artillery. Overnight into March 29, a Hezbollah rocket attack killed one Israeli-American soldier and wounded three others in southern Lebanon, while the group claimed 32 operations in the prior 24 hours. Israel countered with airstrikes, including one on March 28 killing three journalists in southern Lebanon. With over 400 Hezbollah fighters reported killed and no ceasefire negotiations, traders monitor daily IDF and Hezbollah statements for escalation or de-escalation amid broader regional involvement from Houthis and Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$1,672,133End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hezbollah has conducted near-daily military actions against Israel since March 2, 2026, when it launched rockets and missiles in response to the Iran-Israel war, targeting IDF positions, bases, and northern settlements with barrages, drones, and artillery. Overnight into March 29, a Hezbollah rocket attack killed one Israeli-American soldier and wounded three others in southern Lebanon, while the group claimed 32 operations in the prior 24 hours. Israel countered with airstrikes, including one on March 28 killing three journalists in southern Lebanon. With over 400 Hezbollah fighters reported killed and no ceasefire negotiations, traders monitor daily IDF and Hezbollah statements for escalation or de-escalation amid broader regional involvement from Houthis and Iran.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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