Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March settlement markets reflects caution after a 15-18% March pullback from early-month highs near $5,400 per ounce, driven by a stronger US Dollar Index above 100.40 and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.29%, which elevate gold's opportunity cost amid fewer expected Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Countering this, safe-haven demand surged in the past week from escalating US-Iran tensions, propelling spot prices back above $4,500 briefly to $4,524 before settling around $4,460-$4,495. With resolution imminent on the final trading day, traders eye last-minute catalysts like PCE inflation data or geopolitical headlines, as GC futures bounce off the 50-week moving average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGold (GC) above ___ end of March?
Gold (GC) above ___ end of March?
$162,568 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
$7,000
<1%
$6,500
<1%
$6,000
<1%
$5,800
<1%
$5,600
<1%
$5,400
1%
$5,200
2%
$5,000
3%
$4,800
9%
$4,600
37%
$4,400
74%
$4,000
95%
$162,568 Vol.
$7,000
$16,314 Vol.
<1%
$6,500
$5,806 Vol.
<1%
$6,000
$18,080 Vol.
<1%
$5,800
$30,820 Vol.
<1%
$5,600
$4,847 Vol.
<1%
$5,400
$43,994 Vol.
1%
$5,200
$4,403 Vol.
2%
$5,000
$10,084 Vol.
3%
$4,800
$11,267 Vol.
9%
$4,600
$6,487 Vol.
37%
$4,400
$2,148 Vol.
74%
$4,000
$8,317 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March settlement markets reflects caution after a 15-18% March pullback from early-month highs near $5,400 per ounce, driven by a stronger US Dollar Index above 100.40 and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.29%, which elevate gold's opportunity cost amid fewer expected Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Countering this, safe-haven demand surged in the past week from escalating US-Iran tensions, propelling spot prices back above $4,500 briefly to $4,524 before settling around $4,460-$4,495. With resolution imminent on the final trading day, traders eye last-minute catalysts like PCE inflation data or geopolitical headlines, as GC futures bounce off the 50-week moving average.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$162,568End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March settlement markets reflects caution after a 15-18% March pullback from early-month highs near $5,400 per ounce, driven by a stronger US Dollar Index above 100.40 and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.29%, which elevate gold's opportunity cost amid fewer expected Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Countering this, safe-haven demand surged in the past week from escalating US-Iran tensions, propelling spot prices back above $4,500 briefly to $4,524 before settling around $4,460-$4,495. With resolution imminent on the final trading day, traders eye last-minute catalysts like PCE inflation data or geopolitical headlines, as GC futures bounce off the 50-week moving average.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$162,568End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March settlement markets reflects caution after a 15-18% March pullback from early-month highs near $5,400 per ounce, driven by a stronger US Dollar Index above 100.40 and rising 10-year Treasury yields near 4.29%, which elevate gold's opportunity cost amid fewer expected Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Countering this, safe-haven demand surged in the past week from escalating US-Iran tensions, propelling spot prices back above $4,500 briefly to $4,524 before settling around $4,460-$4,495. With resolution imminent on the final trading day, traders eye last-minute catalysts like PCE inflation data or geopolitical headlines, as GC futures bounce off the 50-week moving average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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