Geopolitical tensions from the US-Iran conflict and the resulting de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices, with major Middle East supply disruptions of roughly 10-14 million barrels per day pushing Brent averages above $110/bbl in recent weeks and WTI June futures trading near $107-110. Global inventories have drawn down sharply in the second quarter amid these shortages, while OPEC+ output cuts and elevated shipping costs have widened the Brent-WTI spread. Market sentiment also reflects ongoing US-Iran ceasefire negotiations, potential Strait reopening timelines, weekly EIA inventory data, and seasonal demand patterns. Any resolution of the conflict could ease the risk premium quickly, while prolonged disruptions would sustain elevated levels into June resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$126,151 Wol.
$90
41%
$85
54%
$80
73%
$75
88%
$70
89%
$65
93%
$63
95%
$60
93%
$56
98%
$55
95%
$52
98%
$50
96%
$126,151 Wol.
$90
41%
$85
54%
$80
73%
$75
88%
$70
89%
$65
93%
$63
95%
$60
93%
$56
98%
$55
95%
$52
98%
$50
96%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from the US-Iran conflict and the resulting de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices, with major Middle East supply disruptions of roughly 10-14 million barrels per day pushing Brent averages above $110/bbl in recent weeks and WTI June futures trading near $107-110. Global inventories have drawn down sharply in the second quarter amid these shortages, while OPEC+ output cuts and elevated shipping costs have widened the Brent-WTI spread. Market sentiment also reflects ongoing US-Iran ceasefire negotiations, potential Strait reopening timelines, weekly EIA inventory data, and seasonal demand patterns. Any resolution of the conflict could ease the risk premium quickly, while prolonged disruptions would sustain elevated levels into June resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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