Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices heading into end-June 2026. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened global balances, supporting benchmarks near $90–$105 amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. Recent diplomatic signals and partial normalization expectations introduce downside risks, while softer 2026 demand growth and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on June 7 add further uncertainty. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory reports and any progress on reopening shipping lanes for shifts in near-term pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRohöl (CL) über ___ Ende Juni?
$126,641 Vol.
90 $
40%
85 $
54%
80 $
73%
75 $
88%
70 $
89%
65 $
93%
63 $
95%
60 $
93%
56 $
96%
55 $
96%
$52
97%
50 $
97%
$126,641 Vol.
90 $
40%
85 $
54%
80 $
73%
75 $
88%
70 $
89%
65 $
93%
63 $
95%
60 $
93%
56 $
96%
55 $
96%
$52
97%
50 $
97%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices heading into end-June 2026. Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day have tightened global balances, supporting benchmarks near $90–$105 amid an EIA-projected 8.5 million barrel-per-day inventory draw in the second quarter. Recent diplomatic signals and partial normalization expectations introduce downside risks, while softer 2026 demand growth and the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on June 7 add further uncertainty. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory reports and any progress on reopening shipping lanes for shifts in near-term pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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