Polymarket traders show closely contested sentiment for June gold (GC) settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 (19.4% implied probability) edging $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%), reflecting uncertainty over the pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation and geopolitical risks. Recent September CPI data at 2.4% year-over-year—below expectations—has fueled Fed funds futures pricing in 25 basis points of easing at the November FOMC, supporting gold's rally above $2,700/oz spot amid Middle East tensions and U.S. election volatility. Differentiating factors include dollar strength via DXY index post-election and central bank buying trends; key catalysts ahead are October CPI release and November 5 election, which could sway safe-haven demand and Treasury yields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 19.5%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$5,000-$5,400 14.2%
$832,152 Vol.
$832,152 Vol.
<$3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
20%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>$6,200
8%
$4,200-$4,600 19.5%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$5,000-$5,400 14.2%
$832,152 Vol.
$832,152 Vol.
<$3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
20%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>$6,200
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show closely contested sentiment for June gold (GC) settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 (19.4% implied probability) edging $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%), reflecting uncertainty over the pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation and geopolitical risks. Recent September CPI data at 2.4% year-over-year—below expectations—has fueled Fed funds futures pricing in 25 basis points of easing at the November FOMC, supporting gold's rally above $2,700/oz spot amid Middle East tensions and U.S. election volatility. Differentiating factors include dollar strength via DXY index post-election and central bank buying trends; key catalysts ahead are October CPI release and November 5 election, which could sway safe-haven demand and Treasury yields.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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