Polymarket traders price a bullish tilt for June COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 implied at 19.6% narrowly leading $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%) and nearby bins closely contested, reflecting uncertainty in the rally's trajectory amid skin-in-the-game consensus. Recent drivers include gold's surge past $2,800/oz on persistent inflation pressures—October CPI at 2.6% year-over-year versus the Fed's 2% target—and Fed funds futures implying two 25-basis-point cuts by mid-2025, compressing real Treasury yields and weakening the dollar index below 105. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions bolster safe-haven flows, alongside record central bank buying exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key swing factors: softer December nonfarm payrolls could accelerate cuts and push toward $5,000+, while robust U.S. data risks capping at $4,200; watch January FOMC for policy signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 19.6%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$5,000-$5,400 14.2%
$832,177 Vol.
$832,177 Vol.
<$3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
20%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>$6,200
8%
$4,200-$4,600 19.6%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$5,000-$5,400 14.2%
$832,177 Vol.
$832,177 Vol.
<$3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
20%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>$6,200
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a bullish tilt for June COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement, with $4,200-$4,600 implied at 19.6% narrowly leading $4,600-$5,000 (17.0%) and nearby bins closely contested, reflecting uncertainty in the rally's trajectory amid skin-in-the-game consensus. Recent drivers include gold's surge past $2,800/oz on persistent inflation pressures—October CPI at 2.6% year-over-year versus the Fed's 2% target—and Fed funds futures implying two 25-basis-point cuts by mid-2025, compressing real Treasury yields and weakening the dollar index below 105. Geopolitical risks from Middle East tensions bolster safe-haven flows, alongside record central bank buying exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key swing factors: softer December nonfarm payrolls could accelerate cuts and push toward $5,000+, while robust U.S. data risks capping at $4,200; watch January FOMC for policy signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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