With national selections complete and semi-final running orders revealed on April 2, trader consensus positions Finland as the clear frontrunner for a Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy pop-rock anthem that crushed UMK with dominant public televote support and viral staging previews. France's Monroe surges as the top challenger via "Regarde!," gaining from strong Oddschecker momentum and Big 5 auto-qualification, while Germany's Sarah Engels ("Fire") benefits from recent Das deutsche Finale buzz. Nordic entries historically thrive in juries, but upcoming first rehearsals (late April) and pre-party reactions could spark shifts before the May 12-16 shows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Top 3
Eurovision 2026: Top 3
$77,776 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Finland
69%
France
42%
Australia
38%
Greece
37%
Denmark
35%
Israel
32%
Sweden
20%
Italy
22%
Romania
20%
Ukraine
15%
Serbia
13%
Latvia
12%
Croatia
11%
Norway
10%
Albania
11%
Belgium
9%
Bulgaria
9%
Armenia
8%
Georgia
7%
San Marino
7%
Cyprus
7%
Moldova
17%
Estonia
6%
Poland
6%
Switzerland
5%
Czechia
12%
United Kingdom
8%
Lithuania
5%
Malta
4%
Montenegro
3%
Portugal
3%
Germany
3%
Azerbaijan
2%
Austria
2%
Luxembourg
13%
$77,776 Vol.
Finland
$12,733 Vol.
69%
France
$3,952 Vol.
42%
Australia
$1,890 Vol.
38%
Greece
$14,459 Vol.
37%
Denmark
$7,507 Vol.
35%
Israel
$3,980 Vol.
32%
Sweden
$664 Vol.
20%
Italy
$1,070 Vol.
22%
Romania
$3,493 Vol.
20%
Ukraine
$4,215 Vol.
15%
Serbia
$175 Vol.
13%
Latvia
$275 Vol.
12%
Croatia
$145 Vol.
11%
Norway
$669 Vol.
10%
Albania
$250 Vol.
11%
Belgium
$406 Vol.
9%
Bulgaria
$132 Vol.
9%
Armenia
$544 Vol.
8%
Georgia
$14,971 Vol.
7%
San Marino
$395 Vol.
7%
Cyprus
$448 Vol.
7%
Moldova
$127 Vol.
17%
Estonia
$61 Vol.
6%
Poland
$383 Vol.
6%
Switzerland
$153 Vol.
5%
Czechia
$177 Vol.
12%
United Kingdom
$112 Vol.
8%
Lithuania
$437 Vol.
5%
Malta
$1,048 Vol.
4%
Montenegro
$391 Vol.
3%
Portugal
$345 Vol.
3%
Germany
$924 Vol.
3%
Azerbaijan
$925 Vol.
2%
Austria
$302 Vol.
2%
Luxembourg
$18 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections complete and semi-final running orders revealed on April 2, trader consensus positions Finland as the clear frontrunner for a Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy pop-rock anthem that crushed UMK with dominant public televote support and viral staging previews. France's Monroe surges as the top challenger via "Regarde!," gaining from strong Oddschecker momentum and Big 5 auto-qualification, while Germany's Sarah Engels ("Fire") benefits from recent Das deutsche Finale buzz. Nordic entries historically thrive in juries, but upcoming first rehearsals (late April) and pre-party reactions could spark shifts before the May 12-16 shows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$77,776End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections complete and semi-final running orders revealed on April 2, trader consensus positions Finland as the clear frontrunner for a Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy pop-rock anthem that crushed UMK with dominant public televote support and viral staging previews. France's Monroe surges as the top challenger via "Regarde!," gaining from strong Oddschecker momentum and Big 5 auto-qualification, while Germany's Sarah Engels ("Fire") benefits from recent Das deutsche Finale buzz. Nordic entries historically thrive in juries, but upcoming first rehearsals (late April) and pre-party reactions could spark shifts before the May 12-16 shows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$77,776End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With national selections complete and semi-final running orders revealed on April 2, trader consensus positions Finland as the clear frontrunner for a Eurovision 2026 top 3 finish in Vienna, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy pop-rock anthem that crushed UMK with dominant public televote support and viral staging previews. France's Monroe surges as the top challenger via "Regarde!," gaining from strong Oddschecker momentum and Big 5 auto-qualification, while Germany's Sarah Engels ("Fire") benefits from recent Das deutsche Finale buzz. Nordic entries historically thrive in juries, but upcoming first rehearsals (late April) and pre-party reactions could spark shifts before the May 12-16 shows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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