Colombia Presidential Election

Name: Colombia Presidential Election
Start: 2025-07-29T17:32:52.057619Z
End: 2026-06-21T14:00:00Z

$1,950,238 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Abelardo de la Espriella 39%

Iván Cepeda Castro 39%

Paloma Valencia 12.8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella
$76,656 Vol.
39%

Iván Cepeda Castro
$49,236 Vol.
39%

Paloma Valencia
$17,280 Vol.
13%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)
$39,586 Vol.
5%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
$19,922 Vol.
3%

Roy Barreras
$25,264 Vol.
2%

Vicky Dávila (IND)
$34,834 Vol.
1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
$1,288,280 Vol.
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
$60,390 Vol.
<1%

Claudia López (IND)
$34,405 Vol.
<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)
$57,954 Vol.
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)
$36,343 Vol.
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)
$40,982 Vol.
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)
$37,757 Vol.
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
$27,412 Vol.
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)
$64,684 Vol.
<1%

Daniel Quintero
$14,637 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Created At: Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Volume

$1,950,238

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$1,950,238 Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 39%

Iván Cepeda Castro 39%

Paloma Valencia 12.8%

Sergio Fajardo (DC) 5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Abelardo de la Espriella

$76,656 Vol.

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$49,236 Vol.

39%

Paloma Valencia

$17,280 Vol.

13%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$39,586 Vol.

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$19,922 Vol.

Roy Barreras

$25,264 Vol.

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$34,834 Vol.

Mauricio Cárdenas

$1,288,280 Vol.

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$60,390 Vol.

<1%

Claudia López (IND)

$34,405 Vol.

<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$57,954 Vol.

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$36,343 Vol.

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$40,982 Vol.

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$37,757 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

$27,412 Vol.

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$64,684 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Quintero

$14,637 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,950,238

End Date

Jun 21, 2026

Created At

Jul 29, 2025, 5:17 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

54%

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

19%

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

51%

Beware of external links.

Colombia Presidential Election