Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at a Brooklyn federal facility following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro by US special forces in Caracas amid a superseding indictment for narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine trafficking in New York’s Southern District Court. At their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein declined to dismiss charges or set a trial date, with neither requesting bail due to flight risk concerns; the couple issued their first prison message March 29, declaring steadfastness. Low trader consensus for release by year-end reflects charge gravity, historical SDNY conviction patterns exceeding 90% in similar cases, and disputes over Venezuelan funding for defense counsel, pending further hearings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,166,467 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$1,166,467 Vol.
December 31
$119,865 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at a Brooklyn federal facility following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro by US special forces in Caracas amid a superseding indictment for narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine trafficking in New York’s Southern District Court. At their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein declined to dismiss charges or set a trial date, with neither requesting bail due to flight risk concerns; the couple issued their first prison message March 29, declaring steadfastness. Low trader consensus for release by year-end reflects charge gravity, historical SDNY conviction patterns exceeding 90% in similar cases, and disputes over Venezuelan funding for defense counsel, pending further hearings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 8:45 AM ET
Volume
$1,166,467End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 8:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at a Brooklyn federal facility following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro by US special forces in Caracas amid a superseding indictment for narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine trafficking in New York’s Southern District Court. At their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein declined to dismiss charges or set a trial date, with neither requesting bail due to flight risk concerns; the couple issued their first prison message March 29, declaring steadfastness. Low trader consensus for release by year-end reflects charge gravity, historical SDNY conviction patterns exceeding 90% in similar cases, and disputes over Venezuelan funding for defense counsel, pending further hearings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,166,467End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 8:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at a Brooklyn federal facility following her January 3, 2026, capture alongside Nicolás Maduro by US special forces in Caracas amid a superseding indictment for narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine trafficking in New York’s Southern District Court. At their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein declined to dismiss charges or set a trial date, with neither requesting bail due to flight risk concerns; the couple issued their first prison message March 29, declaring steadfastness. Low trader consensus for release by year-end reflects charge gravity, historical SDNY conviction patterns exceeding 90% in similar cases, and disputes over Venezuelan funding for defense counsel, pending further hearings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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