What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?
$277,658 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
Kaczynski
$49,841 Vol.
No
Kaczynski
$49,841 Vol.
No
Crypto/Bitcoin
$19,406 Vol.
No
Crypto/Bitcoin
$19,406 Vol.
No
Deny, Defend, Depose
$21,428 Vol.
No
Deny, Defend, Depose
$21,428 Vol.
No
Brian Thompson
$54,470 Vol.
No
Brian Thompson
$54,470 Vol.
No
Trump
$12,601 Vol.
No
Trump
$12,601 Vol.
No
AI
$14,048 Vol.
No
AI
$14,048 Vol.
No
Woke
$13,105 Vol.
No
Woke
$13,105 Vol.
No
Preexisting condition
$12,510 Vol.
No
Preexisting condition
$12,510 Vol.
No
Fauci
$13,681 Vol.
No
Fauci
$13,681 Vol.
No
Biden
$7,888 Vol.
No
Biden
$7,888 Vol.
No
Black lives matter
$12,885 Vol.
No
Black lives matter
$12,885 Vol.
No
Vaccine
$10,496 Vol.
No
Vaccine
$10,496 Vol.
No
UPenn
$15,080 Vol.
No
UPenn
$15,080 Vol.
No
McDonald's
$20,218 Vol.
No
McDonald's
$20,218 Vol.
No
Rules
On December 9, Police detained Luigi Mangione as a person of interest in the Brian Thompson case. It has been reported he was carrying a manifesto.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution.
Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski.
This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify.
If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the manifesto contains the term "Kaczynski". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term, as well as variance in capitalizations will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Misspellings of the term will NOT count for a “Yes” resolution.
Compound words will count as long as "Kaczynski" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Ted Kaczynski.
This market will resolve based on the text of the manifesto. Either the full release of the text, or direct quotes from the text published in credible reports will qualify.
If the manifesto has not been released by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, and credible reporting has not quoted this term, this market will resolve to “No”.
Created At: Dec 9, 2024, 9:05 PM
Volume
$277,658End Date
Dec 13, 2024Created At
Dec 9, 2024, 9:05 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$277,658 Vol.
What will Luigi Mangione say in his manifesto?
Kaczynski
$49,841 Vol.
No
Crypto/Bitcoin
$19,406 Vol.
No
Deny, Defend, Depose
$21,428 Vol.
No
Brian Thompson
$54,470 Vol.
No
Trump
$12,601 Vol.
No
AI
$14,048 Vol.
No
Woke
$13,105 Vol.
No
Preexisting condition
$12,510 Vol.
No
Fauci
$13,681 Vol.
No
Biden
$7,888 Vol.
No
Black lives matter
$12,885 Vol.
No
Vaccine
$10,496 Vol.
No
UPenn
$15,080 Vol.
No
McDonald's
$20,218 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$277,658End Date
Dec 13, 2024Created At
Dec 9, 2024, 9:05 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...



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