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Politics·Australia

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

Market icon
Politics·Australia

Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$4,163 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$0 Vol.

7%

December 31

$4,163 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's position as leader remains secure following Labor's record 94-seat landslide victory in the May 2025 federal election, with the next contest due by May 2028 barring a snap election or no-confidence vote. Recent March 2026 Roy Morgan and YouGov polls indicate Labor holds a 52.5-54% two-party preferred lead over the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor, despite primary votes fragmenting—Labor at 27-29%, One Nation surging to 24-27%. The past week's fuel shortages have prompted new security powers and opposition attacks on government handling, potentially eroding approval amid rising petrol prices. South Australia's Labor state election landslide last week reinforces party strength, with no internal leadership spill reported.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's position as leader remains secure following Labor's record 94-seat landslide victory in the May 2025 federal election, with the next contest due by May 2028 barring a snap election or no-confidence vote. Recent March 2026 Roy Morgan and YouGov polls indicate Labor holds a 52.5-54% two-party preferred lead over the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor, despite primary votes fragmenting—Labor at 27-29%, One Nation surging to 24-27%. The past week's fuel shortages have prompted new security powers and opposition attacks on government handling, potentially eroding approval amid rising petrol prices. South Australia's Labor state election landslide last week reinforces party strength, with no internal leadership spill reported.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's position as leader remains secure following Labor's record 94-seat landslide victory in the May 2025 federal election, with the next contest due by May 2028 barring a snap election or no-confidence vote. Recent March 2026 Roy Morgan and YouGov polls indicate Labor holds a 52.5-54% two-party preferred lead over the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor, despite primary votes fragmenting—Labor at 27-29%, One Nation surging to 24-27%. The past week's fuel shortages have prompted new security powers and opposition attacks on government handling, potentially eroding approval amid rising petrol prices. South Australia's Labor state election landslide last week reinforces party strength, with no internal leadership spill reported.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's position as leader remains secure following Labor's record 94-seat landslide victory in the May 2025 federal election, with the next contest due by May 2028 barring a snap election or no-confidence vote. Recent March 2026 Roy Morgan and YouGov polls indicate Labor holds a 52.5-54% two-party preferred lead over the Liberal-National Coalition under Angus Taylor, despite primary votes fragmenting—Labor at 27-29%, One Nation surging to 24-27%. The past week's fuel shortages have prompted new security powers and opposition attacks on government handling, potentially eroding approval amid rising petrol prices. South Australia's Labor state election landslide last week reinforces party strength, with no internal leadership spill reported.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 17%, followed by "June 30" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " is "December 31" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.