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Finance·Business

3rd largest company end of March?

Market icon
Finance·Business

3rd largest company end of March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Alphabet 48%

Apple 47%

Microsoft <1%

NVIDIA <1%

Polymarket

$763,022 Vol.

Alphabet 48%

Apple 47%

Microsoft <1%

NVIDIA <1%

Polymarket

$763,022 Vol.

Market icon

Alphabet

$239,183 Vol.

48%

Market icon

Apple

$120,059 Vol.

47%

Market icon

Microsoft

$141,619 Vol.

1%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$63,864 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Amazon

$50,443 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tesla

$20,277 Vol.

<1%

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Oracle

$109,212 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$18,366 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$763,022
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket traders see a nail-biter for third-largest company by market cap on March 31, 2025, with Apple at 49% implied probability edging Alphabet's 48%, as Nvidia and Microsoft dominate top-two spots amid AI-driven rallies—Nvidia up over 170% YTD on data center demand, Microsoft gaining 12% on Azure and Copilot momentum. Apple's edge stems from resilient services growth and iPhone upgrade cycles, but headwinds like China slowdowns, EU antitrust fines, and delayed Apple Intelligence rollout cap upside, trading at 32x forward P/E. Alphabet closes the gap via Google Cloud's 30% revenue surge and Gemini AI monetization, at a cheaper 23x P/E, though ad market volatility looms. Key watch: Q4 earnings in January, with $3 trillion thresholds pivotal for resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 48%, followed by "Apple" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of March?" has generated $763K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of March?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of March?" is "Alphabet" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.