Market icon
Tech·Apple

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

Market icon
Tech·Apple

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

Apr 3

Apr 3

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

The White House <1%

Polymarket

$32,388 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Claude by Anthropic <1%

The White House <1%

Polymarket

$32,388 Vol.

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ChatGPT

$18,263 Vol.

100%

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Google Gemini

$2,622 Vol.

<1%

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Claude by Anthropic

$5,363 Vol.

<1%

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The White House

$1,446 Vol.

<1%

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Threads

$876 Vol.

<1%

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MLB

$1,417 Vol.

<1%

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Google

$746 Vol.

<1%

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NCAA March Madness Live

$871 Vol.

<1%

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Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$785 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands a 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store, driven by live charts confirming its top position amid surging artificial intelligence adoption. OpenAI's mobile chatbot app has sustained dominance through continuous updates, including advanced image generation and voice features, building on its historic lead as Apple's most-downloaded free US app in 2025 with over 770 million global installs. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects verified rankings from sources like Appfigures and 42matters, resilient to brief challengers like Anthropic's Claude in March. Realistic challenges include a late-day viral surge from rivals such as Google Gemini or seasonal apps like MLB, though current momentum and market proximity to resolution on April 3 make shifts unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$32,388
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT commands a 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store, driven by live charts confirming its top position amid surging artificial intelligence adoption. OpenAI's mobile chatbot app has sustained dominance through continuous updates, including advanced image generation and voice features, building on its historic lead as Apple's most-downloaded free US app in 2025 with over 770 million global installs. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects verified rankings from sources like Appfigures and 42matters, resilient to brief challengers like Anthropic's Claude in March. Realistic challenges include a late-day viral surge from rivals such as Google Gemini or seasonal apps like MLB, though current momentum and market proximity to resolution on April 3 make shifts unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$32,388
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 100%, followed by "Google Gemini" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?" has generated $32.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?" is "ChatGPT" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Google Gemini" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.