Trader consensus in the "Who will Trump endorse?" market heavily favors Ken Paxton at 60% over John Cornyn at 21% for the Texas Senate Republican primary, driven by intense MAGA opposition to early rumors of a Cornyn endorsement and Trump's subsequent silence, interpreted as a signal favoring the challenger. Paxton's momentum surged after CPAC activists embraced him as their choice in late March and Rep. Brandon Gill's endorsement on April 2, while Cornyn courts additional support including healthcare groups ahead of the May 26 runoff. Susan Collins leads at 67% for Maine Senate amid her incumbency and lack of strong intra-party challengers. Trump recently endorsed Michael Whatley for North Carolina Senate and others in Texas House races, underscoring his influence on 2026 midterm primaries resolving by November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$111,064 Vol.

Susan Collins - ME-Sen
67%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
60%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
47%

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
50%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
16%
$111,064 Vol.

Susan Collins - ME-Sen
67%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
60%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
47%

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
50%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
16%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus in the "Who will Trump endorse?" market heavily favors Ken Paxton at 60% over John Cornyn at 21% for the Texas Senate Republican primary, driven by intense MAGA opposition to early rumors of a Cornyn endorsement and Trump's subsequent silence, interpreted as a signal favoring the challenger. Paxton's momentum surged after CPAC activists embraced him as their choice in late March and Rep. Brandon Gill's endorsement on April 2, while Cornyn courts additional support including healthcare groups ahead of the May 26 runoff. Susan Collins leads at 67% for Maine Senate amid her incumbency and lack of strong intra-party challengers. Trump recently endorsed Michael Whatley for North Carolina Senate and others in Texas House races, underscoring his influence on 2026 midterm primaries resolving by November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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