Trump traders overwhelmingly price a repeal of presidential term limits under the 22nd Amendment at just 7.7% odds by year-end 2026, reflecting the formidable constitutional barriers requiring two-thirds supermajorities in both the House and Senate, followed by ratification by 38 state legislatures—a threshold unmet since 1992. No official White House announcements, legislative introductions, or committee actions have advanced such an effort in the past 30 days, despite fringe proposals like Rep. Andy Ogles' 2025 resolution stalling without momentum. Trump's prior musings on a third term acknowledged the limits without endorsing repeal, while recent focus remains on congressional term limits. Midterm elections later this year could shift congressional math, but historical precedent shows amendments rarely succeed amid partisan divides, barring a seismic scandal or consensus unlikely to emerge swiftly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Trump traders overwhelmingly price a repeal of presidential term limits under the 22nd Amendment at just 7.7% odds by year-end 2026, reflecting the formidable constitutional barriers requiring two-thirds supermajorities in both the House and Senate, followed by ratification by 38 state legislatures—a threshold unmet since 1992. No official White House announcements, legislative introductions, or committee actions have advanced such an effort in the past 30 days, despite fringe proposals like Rep. Andy Ogles' 2025 resolution stalling without momentum. Trump's prior musings on a third term acknowledged the limits without endorsing repeal, while recent focus remains on congressional term limits. Midterm elections later this year could shift congressional math, but historical precedent shows amendments rarely succeed amid partisan divides, barring a seismic scandal or consensus unlikely to emerge swiftly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volumen
$6,442Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Trump traders overwhelmingly price a repeal of presidential term limits under the 22nd Amendment at just 7.7% odds by year-end 2026, reflecting the formidable constitutional barriers requiring two-thirds supermajorities in both the House and Senate, followed by ratification by 38 state legislatures—a threshold unmet since 1992. No official White House announcements, legislative introductions, or committee actions have advanced such an effort in the past 30 days, despite fringe proposals like Rep. Andy Ogles' 2025 resolution stalling without momentum. Trump's prior musings on a third term acknowledged the limits without endorsing repeal, while recent focus remains on congressional term limits. Midterm elections later this year could shift congressional math, but historical precedent shows amendments rarely succeed amid partisan divides, barring a seismic scandal or consensus unlikely to emerge swiftly.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volumen
$6,442Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump traders overwhelmingly price a repeal of presidential term limits under the 22nd Amendment at just 7.7% odds by year-end 2026, reflecting the formidable constitutional barriers requiring two-thirds supermajorities in both the House and Senate, followed by ratification by 38 state legislatures—a threshold unmet since 1992. No official White House announcements, legislative introductions, or committee actions have advanced such an effort in the past 30 days, despite fringe proposals like Rep. Andy Ogles' 2025 resolution stalling without momentum. Trump's prior musings on a third term acknowledged the limits without endorsing repeal, while recent focus remains on congressional term limits. Midterm elections later this year could shift congressional math, but historical precedent shows amendments rarely succeed amid partisan divides, barring a seismic scandal or consensus unlikely to emerge swiftly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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