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Política·Trump-Machado

¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?

Market icon
Política·Trump-Machado

¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?

$5,090,874 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$5,090,874 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

31 de marzo

$1,939,892 Vol.

1%

Market icon

30 de abril

$317,741 Vol.

20%

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, coordinator of Vente Venezuela and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner, announced on March 1 her plan to return to the country within weeks to help lead a democratic transition after Nicolás Maduro's capture by the United States and amid a fragile post-regime power shift. She has remained abroad since secretly departing in December 2025 following the Nobel ceremony in Oslo. Warnings from regime holdouts, including Diosdado Cabello's threat of a "surprise" and interim President Delcy Rodríguez's legal cautions, have heightened risks around her entry method—potentially by air or land. Traders monitor for her arrival confirmation, as it could signal opposition momentum or spark confrontations in the ongoing political vacuum.

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, coordinator of Vente Venezuela and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner, announced on March 1 her plan to return to the country within weeks to help lead a democratic transition after Nicolás Maduro's capture by the United States and amid a fragile post-regime power shift. She has remained abroad since secretly departing in December 2025 following the Nobel ceremony in Oslo. Warnings from regime holdouts, including Diosdado Cabello's threat of a "surprise" and interim President Delcy Rodríguez's legal cautions, have heightened risks around her entry method—potentially by air or land. Traders monitor for her arrival confirmation, as it could signal opposition momentum or spark confrontations in the ongoing political vacuum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 9, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, coordinator of Vente Venezuela and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner, announced on March 1 her plan to return to the country within weeks to help lead a democratic transition after Nicolás Maduro's capture by the United States and amid a fragile post-regime power shift. She has remained abroad since secretly departing in December 2025 following the Nobel ceremony in Oslo. Warnings from regime holdouts, including Diosdado Cabello's threat of a "surprise" and interim President Delcy Rodríguez's legal cautions, have heightened risks around her entry method—potentially by air or land. Traders monitor for her arrival confirmation, as it could signal opposition momentum or spark confrontations in the ongoing political vacuum.

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, coordinator of Vente Venezuela and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner, announced on March 1 her plan to return to the country within weeks to help lead a democratic transition after Nicolás Maduro's capture by the United States and amid a fragile post-regime power shift. She has remained abroad since secretly departing in December 2025 following the Nobel ceremony in Oslo. Warnings from regime holdouts, including Diosdado Cabello's threat of a "surprise" and interim President Delcy Rodríguez's legal cautions, have heightened risks around her entry method—potentially by air or land. Traders monitor for her arrival confirmation, as it could signal opposition momentum or spark confrontations in the ongoing political vacuum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 20%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 20¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?" ha generado $5.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?" es "30 de abril" con 20%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 20% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿María Corina Machado entra a Venezuela por…?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.