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Elecciones·Trump

¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?

Market icon
Elecciones·Trump

¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

7% chance
Polymarket

$28,506 Vol.

Sí

7% chance
Polymarket

$28,506 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not announced a 2028 presidential bid, with trader consensus pricing "No" at 93% implied probability for any declaration by June 30 amid her ongoing book tour and reports from close associates indicating she remains undecided and unengaged in nomination discussions. A February 25 interview tease where she said she "might" run fueled brief speculation, but a March 9 Politico report highlighted her focus on post-2024 reflections rather than campaign groundwork, while recent polling shows her as a potential Democratic contender without firm commitments. Absent official statements or primary filing signals, traders anticipate no formal entry before the deadline, though midterms or shifting party dynamics could prompt reconsideration.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not announced a 2028 presidential bid, with trader consensus pricing "No" at 93% implied probability for any declaration by June 30 amid her ongoing book tour and reports from close associates indicating she remains undecided and unengaged in nomination discussions. A February 25 interview tease where she said she "might" run fueled brief speculation, but a March 9 Politico report highlighted her focus on post-2024 reflections rather than campaign groundwork, while recent polling shows her as a potential Democratic contender without firm commitments. Absent official statements or primary filing signals, traders anticipate no formal entry before the deadline, though midterms or shifting party dynamics could prompt reconsideration.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris officially announces that she is running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by Kamala Harris will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Kamala Harris or her legal or social media representatives (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not announced a 2028 presidential bid, with trader consensus pricing "No" at 93% implied probability for any declaration by June 30 amid her ongoing book tour and reports from close associates indicating she remains undecided and unengaged in nomination discussions. A February 25 interview tease where she said she "might" run fueled brief speculation, but a March 9 Politico report highlighted her focus on post-2024 reflections rather than campaign groundwork, while recent polling shows her as a potential Democratic contender without firm commitments. Absent official statements or primary filing signals, traders anticipate no formal entry before the deadline, though midterms or shifting party dynamics could prompt reconsideration.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris has not announced a 2028 presidential bid, with trader consensus pricing "No" at 93% implied probability for any declaration by June 30 amid her ongoing book tour and reports from close associates indicating she remains undecided and unengaged in nomination discussions. A February 25 interview tease where she said she "might" run fueled brief speculation, but a March 9 Politico report highlighted her focus on post-2024 reflections rather than campaign groundwork, while recent polling shows her as a potential Democratic contender without firm commitments. Absent official statements or primary filing signals, traders anticipate no formal entry before the deadline, though midterms or shifting party dynamics could prompt reconsideration.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Anunciará Kamala Harris su candidatura presidencial para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" con 7%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 7¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 7% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $28.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Anunciará Kamala Harris su candidatura presidencial para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" con solo 7%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Kamala Harris anunciará una candidatura a la presidencia para 2028 antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.