The national average U.S. gasoline price has exceeded $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, reaching about $4.08 as of April 2 amid surging crude oil costs from the ongoing Iran conflict, where U.S. and Israeli strikes in late February disrupted supplies and drove a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month. Refinery crack spreads have widened, amplifying the impact, while seasonal demand builds ahead of summer driving season. EIA forecasts suggest peak pressures may ease later in 2026, but traders eye near-term volatility from further escalation risks or diplomatic signals, with resolution tied to AAA's April 30 national average for regular unleaded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$143,485 Vol.
30 abr 2026
↑ $5.00
9%
↑ $4.75
27%
↑ $4.50
68%
↑ $4.25
92%
↑ $4.15
98%
↓ $3.95
33%
↓ $3.85
22%
↓ $3.75
10%
↓ $3.50
10%
↓ $3.25
7%
↓ $3.00
2%
$143,485 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$8,522 Vol.
9%
↑ $4.75
$7,619 Vol.
27%
↑ $4.50
$3,250 Vol.
68%
↑ $4.25
$4,808 Vol.
92%
↑ $4.15
$3,444 Vol.
98%
↓ $3.95
$1,586 Vol.
33%
↓ $3.85
$2,772 Vol.
22%
↓ $3.75
$524 Vol.
10%
↓ $3.50
$85 Vol.
10%
↓ $3.25
$2 Vol.
7%
↓ $3.00
$755 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".The national average U.S. gasoline price has exceeded $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, reaching about $4.08 as of April 2 amid surging crude oil costs from the ongoing Iran conflict, where U.S. and Israeli strikes in late February disrupted supplies and drove a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month. Refinery crack spreads have widened, amplifying the impact, while seasonal demand builds ahead of summer driving season. EIA forecasts suggest peak pressures may ease later in 2026, but traders eye near-term volatility from further escalation risks or diplomatic signals, with resolution tied to AAA's April 30 national average for regular unleaded.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$143,485Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".The national average U.S. gasoline price has exceeded $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, reaching about $4.08 as of April 2 amid surging crude oil costs from the ongoing Iran conflict, where U.S. and Israeli strikes in late February disrupted supplies and drove a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month. Refinery crack spreads have widened, amplifying the impact, while seasonal demand builds ahead of summer driving season. EIA forecasts suggest peak pressures may ease later in 2026, but traders eye near-term volatility from further escalation risks or diplomatic signals, with resolution tied to AAA's April 30 national average for regular unleaded.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$143,485Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The national average U.S. gasoline price has exceeded $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, reaching about $4.08 as of April 2 amid surging crude oil costs from the ongoing Iran conflict, where U.S. and Israeli strikes in late February disrupted supplies and drove a 30% rise in pump prices over the past month. Refinery crack spreads have widened, amplifying the impact, while seasonal demand builds ahead of summer driving season. EIA forecasts suggest peak pressures may ease later in 2026, but traders eye near-term volatility from further escalation risks or diplomatic signals, with resolution tied to AAA's April 30 national average for regular unleaded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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