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¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?

Market icon

¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

Sí

34% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

34% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no country leaving BRICS in 2026 at 66.5% implied probability, driven by the alliance's ongoing expansion and internal cohesion amid geopolitical tensions. No member—among Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia—has issued official withdrawal statements or notices, as confirmed by Russia's Foreign Ministry in October 2025. Recent developments include India's assumption of the 2026 BRICS presidency from Brazil in December 2025, signaling continuity with planned summits and sectoral meetings on commerce and connectivity. U.S. tariff threats under Trump have been dismissed by the Kremlin, while partner country additions bolster momentum, outweighing past non-joins like Argentina's 2024 reversal. Upcoming events, including India's hosted summit, could further solidify unity unless unforeseen diplomatic rifts emerge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,565
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors no country leaving BRICS in 2026 at 66.5% implied probability, driven by the alliance's ongoing expansion and internal cohesion amid geopolitical tensions. No member—among Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia—has issued official withdrawal statements or notices, as confirmed by Russia's Foreign Ministry in October 2025. Recent developments include India's assumption of the 2026 BRICS presidency from Brazil in December 2025, signaling continuity with planned summits and sectoral meetings on commerce and connectivity. U.S. tariff threats under Trump have been dismissed by the Kremlin, while partner country additions bolster momentum, outweighing past non-joins like Argentina's 2024 reversal. Upcoming events, including India's hosted summit, could further solidify unity unless unforeseen diplomatic rifts emerge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,565
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Dejará un país los BRICS en 2026?" con 34%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 7, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?" es "¿Dejará un país los BRICS en 2026?" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Saldrá un país del BRICS en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.