Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan’s longstanding dominance in deep-blue WI-02, anchored by liberal Madison and Dane County’s strong Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, citing the district’s partisan voter index and Pocan’s history of 70%+ margins with no prominent Republican challenger declared ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 open primaries. Ongoing congressional redistricting lawsuits pose minor uncertainty but limited risk to WI-02 boundaries. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, a Pocan scandal or health issue, or a massive national Republican midterm wave akin to 2010 or 2022, though such flips in D+15 seats are rare historically.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
91%
Partido Republicano
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan’s longstanding dominance in deep-blue WI-02, anchored by liberal Madison and Dane County’s strong Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, citing the district’s partisan voter index and Pocan’s history of 70%+ margins with no prominent Republican challenger declared ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 open primaries. Ongoing congressional redistricting lawsuits pose minor uncertainty but limited risk to WI-02 boundaries. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, a Pocan scandal or health issue, or a massive national Republican midterm wave akin to 2010 or 2022, though such flips in D+15 seats are rare historically.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan’s longstanding dominance in deep-blue WI-02, anchored by liberal Madison and Dane County’s strong Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, citing the district’s partisan voter index and Pocan’s history of 70%+ margins with no prominent Republican challenger declared ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 open primaries. Ongoing congressional redistricting lawsuits pose minor uncertainty but limited risk to WI-02 boundaries. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, a Pocan scandal or health issue, or a massive national Republican midterm wave akin to 2010 or 2022, though such flips in D+15 seats are rare historically.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan’s longstanding dominance in deep-blue WI-02, anchored by liberal Madison and Dane County’s strong Democratic lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 91% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Democratic, citing the district’s partisan voter index and Pocan’s history of 70%+ margins with no prominent Republican challenger declared ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 open primaries. Ongoing congressional redistricting lawsuits pose minor uncertainty but limited risk to WI-02 boundaries. Realistic challenges include a late high-profile GOP recruit post-primary, a Pocan scandal or health issue, or a massive national Republican midterm wave akin to 2010 or 2022, though such flips in D+15 seats are rare historically.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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