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¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

Market icon

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$355,918 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$355,918 Vol.

Polymarket

Kuwait

$1,257 Vol.

27%

Somalilandia

$44,926 Vol.

26%

Arabia Saudita

$64,009 Vol.

25%

Líbano

$5,765 Vol.

23%

Siria

$110,487 Vol.

22%

Azerbaiyán

$28,616 Vol.

25%

Omán

$100,859 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal accession to the Abraham Accords in November 2025, announced by President Trump, represented the initiative's first expansion beyond original signatories UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan, fueling optimism for further diplomatic breakthroughs. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, where the self-declared republic pledged to join, has elevated it to trader consensus frontrunner around 34%, alongside Azerbaijan at 30% amid shared security interests against Iran. Saudi Arabia lingers at 20%, with recent U.S. urgings for normalization—tied to Palestinian statehood progress—but no agreement yet. Kuwait and Syria trail competitively; regional de-escalation signals and U.S.-Gulf summits could accelerate a pre-2027 addition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$355,918
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal accession to the Abraham Accords in November 2025, announced by President Trump, represented the initiative's first expansion beyond original signatories UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan, fueling optimism for further diplomatic breakthroughs. Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland, where the self-declared republic pledged to join, has elevated it to trader consensus frontrunner around 34%, alongside Azerbaijan at 30% amid shared security interests against Iran. Saudi Arabia lingers at 20%, with recent U.S. urgings for normalization—tied to Palestinian statehood progress—but no agreement yet. Kuwait and Syria trail competitively; regional de-escalation signals and U.S.-Gulf summits could accelerate a pre-2027 addition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$355,918
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kuwait" con 27%, seguido de "Somalilandia" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $355.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Kuwait" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Somalilandia" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.