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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

$354,480 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$354,480 Vol.

Polymarket

Somalilandia

$44,926 Vol.

28%

Líbano

$5,764 Vol.

23%

Arabia Saudita

$63,271 Vol.

22%

Azerbaiyán

$28,334 Vol.

25%

Siria

$110,486 Vol.

22%

Omán

$100,640 Vol.

15%

Kuwait

$1,060 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in early 2026, following its November 2025 announcement, has revived expansion momentum under the second Trump administration, bolstered by the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire and recent U.S. strikes degrading Iran's regional influence. Somaliland leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability after pledging accession in December 2025 upon Israeli recognition, though formal signing awaits. Saudi Arabia trails closely at 25%, fueled by President Trump's appeals to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman four days ago for normalization amid defense-tech corridor talks. Azerbaijan (26%) benefits from Netanyahu's planned Baku visit, while Oman (15%) and Kuwait (18%) face hurdles from Arab League pressures, as seen in yesterday's joint statement by Saudi, Qatar, and others. Upcoming summits and security pacts could shift odds before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$354,480
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in early 2026, following its November 2025 announcement, has revived expansion momentum under the second Trump administration, bolstered by the October 2025 Gaza ceasefire and recent U.S. strikes degrading Iran's regional influence. Somaliland leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability after pledging accession in December 2025 upon Israeli recognition, though formal signing awaits. Saudi Arabia trails closely at 25%, fueled by President Trump's appeals to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman four days ago for normalization amid defense-tech corridor talks. Azerbaijan (26%) benefits from Netanyahu's planned Baku visit, while Oman (15%) and Kuwait (18%) face hurdles from Arab League pressures, as seen in yesterday's joint statement by Saudi, Qatar, and others. Upcoming summits and security pacts could shift odds before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$354,480
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Somalilandia" con 28%, seguido de "Azerbaiyán" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" ha generado $354.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" es "Somalilandia" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Azerbaiyán" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué país se unirá a los Acuerdos de Abraham antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.