Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79.1% implied probability to Miami's Parcl Labs-derived median home value falling in the $1.22–1.24 million range on April 1, driven by the latest sales price index at $585 per square foot—up 2.6% daily and trending higher from $570 last week—yielding an adjusted value near $1.23 million using median square footage. This resilience contrasts with broader softening, including Zillow's February 2026 typical home value down 2.3% year-over-year to $574,000 and Redfin's Miami-Dade median sale price at $560,000, down 2.6%, amid rising inventory. Resolution today via Parcl's daily index caps upside risks from national spring rebound signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Miami el 1 de abril?
¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en Miami el 1 de abril?
1,22 - 1,24 m 79.1%
>1,24 millones 5.7%
1.18 - 1.2m 4.6%
1.16 - 1.18m 2.6%
$13,256 Vol.
$13,256 Vol.
<1.1m
1%
1.1 - 1.12m
<1%
1.12 - 1.14 millones
2%
1,14 - 1,16 millones
1%
1.16 - 1.18m
3%
1.18 - 1.2m
5%
1.2 - 1.22m
1%
1,22 - 1,24 m
79%
>1,24 millones
6%
1,22 - 1,24 m 79.1%
>1,24 millones 5.7%
1.18 - 1.2m 4.6%
1.16 - 1.18m 2.6%
$13,256 Vol.
$13,256 Vol.
<1.1m
1%
1.1 - 1.12m
<1%
1.12 - 1.14 millones
2%
1,14 - 1,16 millones
1%
1.16 - 1.18m
3%
1.18 - 1.2m
5%
1.2 - 1.22m
1%
1,22 - 1,24 m
79%
>1,24 millones
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/15)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 79.1% implied probability to Miami's Parcl Labs-derived median home value falling in the $1.22–1.24 million range on April 1, driven by the latest sales price index at $585 per square foot—up 2.6% daily and trending higher from $570 last week—yielding an adjusted value near $1.23 million using median square footage. This resilience contrasts with broader softening, including Zillow's February 2026 typical home value down 2.3% year-over-year to $574,000 and Redfin's Miami-Dade median sale price at $560,000, down 2.6%, amid rising inventory. Resolution today via Parcl's daily index caps upside risks from national spring rebound signals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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