Amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by the breakdown of 2025–2026 nuclear negotiations, trader sentiment hinges on fragile diplomatic signals versus persistent military escalation. In the past week, US envoy Steve Witkoff expressed hope for direct meetings potentially hosted in Pakistan involving Iranian Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and US representatives like Jared Kushner, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisted April 1 that contacts remain limited to indirect exchanges amid US airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions. President Trump reiterated openness to diplomacy on April 2 as the war drags on, though Tehran denies formal talks. Upcoming regional mediation efforts, including four-nation initiatives, could catalyze a breakthrough, but hostilities and mutual distrust sustain uncertainty for any bilateral diplomatic meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán por...?
¿Reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán por...?
$1,294,466 Vol.
30 jun 2026
10 de abril
4%
30 de abril
21%
30 de junio
59%
$1,294,466 Vol.
10 de abril
$81,658 Vol.
4%
30 de abril
$183,671 Vol.
21%
30 de junio
$44,127 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by the breakdown of 2025–2026 nuclear negotiations, trader sentiment hinges on fragile diplomatic signals versus persistent military escalation. In the past week, US envoy Steve Witkoff expressed hope for direct meetings potentially hosted in Pakistan involving Iranian Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and US representatives like Jared Kushner, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisted April 1 that contacts remain limited to indirect exchanges amid US airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions. President Trump reiterated openness to diplomacy on April 2 as the war drags on, though Tehran denies formal talks. Upcoming regional mediation efforts, including four-nation initiatives, could catalyze a breakthrough, but hostilities and mutual distrust sustain uncertainty for any bilateral diplomatic meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volumen
$1,294,466Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by the breakdown of 2025–2026 nuclear negotiations, trader sentiment hinges on fragile diplomatic signals versus persistent military escalation. In the past week, US envoy Steve Witkoff expressed hope for direct meetings potentially hosted in Pakistan involving Iranian Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and US representatives like Jared Kushner, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisted April 1 that contacts remain limited to indirect exchanges amid US airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions. President Trump reiterated openness to diplomacy on April 2 as the war drags on, though Tehran denies formal talks. Upcoming regional mediation efforts, including four-nation initiatives, could catalyze a breakthrough, but hostilities and mutual distrust sustain uncertainty for any bilateral diplomatic meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,294,466Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict sparked by the breakdown of 2025–2026 nuclear negotiations, trader sentiment hinges on fragile diplomatic signals versus persistent military escalation. In the past week, US envoy Steve Witkoff expressed hope for direct meetings potentially hosted in Pakistan involving Iranian Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and US representatives like Jared Kushner, but Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi insisted April 1 that contacts remain limited to indirect exchanges amid US airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions. President Trump reiterated openness to diplomacy on April 2 as the war drags on, though Tehran denies formal talks. Upcoming regional mediation efforts, including four-nation initiatives, could catalyze a breakthrough, but hostilities and mutual distrust sustain uncertainty for any bilateral diplomatic meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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