Incumbent Lindsey Graham leads trader consensus at 82% to win South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, bolstered by his incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and superior fundraising with over $13 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challenger Mark Lynch's $4.5 million and Paul Dans' $300,000. Recent polls, including a March 11-17 Pulse Opinion Research survey sponsored by Lynch showing Graham at 41%, Lynch at 21%, and Dans at 11% among likely GOP voters, indicate potential for a June 23 runoff if no majority emerges, yet split opposition sustains Graham's edge. Challengers criticize Graham's foreign policy record amid a March 26 debate among rivals, but his name recognition and resources maintain frontrunner status ahead of today's filing deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Carolina del Sur
Lindsey Graham 82%
Paul Dans 10%
Mark Lynch 8.3%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$33,054 Vol.
$33,054 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
82%
Paul Dans
10%
Mark Lynch
8%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 82%
Paul Dans 10%
Mark Lynch 8.3%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$33,054 Vol.
$33,054 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
82%
Paul Dans
10%
Mark Lynch
8%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lindsey Graham leads trader consensus at 82% to win South Carolina's June 9 Republican Senate primary, bolstered by his incumbency advantage, Trump endorsement, and superior fundraising with over $13 million cash on hand as of late 2025 compared to challenger Mark Lynch's $4.5 million and Paul Dans' $300,000. Recent polls, including a March 11-17 Pulse Opinion Research survey sponsored by Lynch showing Graham at 41%, Lynch at 21%, and Dans at 11% among likely GOP voters, indicate potential for a June 23 runoff if no majority emerges, yet split opposition sustains Graham's edge. Challengers criticize Graham's foreign policy record amid a March 26 debate among rivals, but his name recognition and resources maintain frontrunner status ahead of today's filing deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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