Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95.5% to secure the most seats in Russia's State Duma parliamentary election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its historical dominance in the parallel voting system of proportional lists and single-member districts, where it currently holds 315 of 450 seats. Recent FOM polls from March 20-22 show United Russia leading at 41%, well ahead of LDPR (10%) and KPRF (8%), with WCIOM data around 30% amid fragmented opposition; earlier February dips tied to inflation have stabilized as Kremlin propaganda highlights party social initiatives and war veteran candidates. Suppression of non-systemic opposition, expanded electronic voting, and administrative control underpin this positioning, though a severe economic crisis, Ukraine war escalation, or leadership scandal could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoRusia Unida (ER) 95.5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 1.1%
Civic Platform (GP) 1.1%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
$892,513 Vol.
$892,513 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
96%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
1%
Gente Nueva (NL)
1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 95.5%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 1.1%
Civic Platform (GP) 1.1%
Gente Nueva (NL) <1%
$892,513 Vol.
$892,513 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$469,691 Vol.
96%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$77,067 Vol.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$76,298 Vol.
1%
Gente Nueva (NL)
$34,430 Vol.
1%
Partido Liberal Demócrata de Rusia (LDPR)
$31,464 Vol.
1%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$128,752 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$74,810 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95.5% to secure the most seats in Russia's State Duma parliamentary election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its historical dominance in the parallel voting system of proportional lists and single-member districts, where it currently holds 315 of 450 seats. Recent FOM polls from March 20-22 show United Russia leading at 41%, well ahead of LDPR (10%) and KPRF (8%), with WCIOM data around 30% amid fragmented opposition; earlier February dips tied to inflation have stabilized as Kremlin propaganda highlights party social initiatives and war veteran candidates. Suppression of non-systemic opposition, expanded electronic voting, and administrative control underpin this positioning, though a severe economic crisis, Ukraine war escalation, or leadership scandal could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$892,513Fecha de finalización
Sep 20, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95.5% to secure the most seats in Russia's State Duma parliamentary election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its historical dominance in the parallel voting system of proportional lists and single-member districts, where it currently holds 315 of 450 seats. Recent FOM polls from March 20-22 show United Russia leading at 41%, well ahead of LDPR (10%) and KPRF (8%), with WCIOM data around 30% amid fragmented opposition; earlier February dips tied to inflation have stabilized as Kremlin propaganda highlights party social initiatives and war veteran candidates. Suppression of non-systemic opposition, expanded electronic voting, and administrative control underpin this positioning, though a severe economic crisis, Ukraine war escalation, or leadership scandal could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$892,513Fecha de finalización
Sep 20, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95.5% to secure the most seats in Russia's State Duma parliamentary election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its historical dominance in the parallel voting system of proportional lists and single-member districts, where it currently holds 315 of 450 seats. Recent FOM polls from March 20-22 show United Russia leading at 41%, well ahead of LDPR (10%) and KPRF (8%), with WCIOM data around 30% amid fragmented opposition; earlier February dips tied to inflation have stabilized as Kremlin propaganda highlights party social initiatives and war veteran candidates. Suppression of non-systemic opposition, expanded electronic voting, and administrative control underpin this positioning, though a severe economic crisis, Ukraine war escalation, or leadership scandal could theoretically challenge the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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