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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.6%

Marco Rubio 21.1%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Byron Donalds 4.7%

Polymarket

$476,545,874 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.6%

Marco Rubio 21.1%

Tucker Carlson 5.1%

Byron Donalds 4.7%

Polymarket

$476,545,874 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$6,582,925 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,453,071 Vol.

21%

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Tucker Carlson

$6,935,413 Vol.

5%

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Byron Donalds

$31,600,877 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$7,664,512 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,152,698 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,550,979 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,391,567 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,682,207 Vol.

1%

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Rand Paul

$15,607,623 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,175,847 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,819,931 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$13,734,739 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,532,663 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,640,135 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$6,946,257 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,066,136 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$8,812,597 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,041,707 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,744,253 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$12,582,169 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$3,743,511 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$27,801,676 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$15,243,480 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,068,311 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$27,603,431 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,092,686 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$20,759,384 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$28,302,345 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$1,543,168 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$27,361,228 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$14,202,180 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$22,208,768 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$9,408,886 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$31,544,683 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, driven by his nomination as HHS Secretary in the incoming Trump administration, his "Make America Healthy Again" platform appealing to populist and health-focused GOP voters, and recent high-profile media appearances amplifying his national profile. J.D. Vance trails at 37% as Vice President-elect, bolstered by his alignment with Trump's MAGA base and incumbency advantages in early primary positioning. Marco Rubio's 21% reflects his Florida swing-state strength and Senate Foreign Relations Committee role amid global tensions. With primaries over three years away, post-election cabinet announcements and transition dynamics dominate sentiment, though endorsements, scandals, or midterm results could shift the crowded field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$476,545,874
Fecha de finalización
Nov 7, 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, driven by his nomination as HHS Secretary in the incoming Trump administration, his "Make America Healthy Again" platform appealing to populist and health-focused GOP voters, and recent high-profile media appearances amplifying his national profile. J.D. Vance trails at 37% as Vice President-elect, bolstered by his alignment with Trump's MAGA base and incumbency advantages in early primary positioning. Marco Rubio's 21% reflects his Florida swing-state strength and Senate Foreign Relations Committee role amid global tensions. With primaries over three years away, post-election cabinet announcements and transition dynamics dominate sentiment, though endorsements, scandals, or midterm results could shift the crowded field.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, driven by his nomination as HHS Secretary in the incoming Trump administration, his "Make America Healthy Again" platform appealing to populist and health-focused GOP voters, and recent high-profile media appearances amplifying his national profile. J.D. Vance trails at 37% as Vice President-elect, bolstered by his alignment with Trump's MAGA base and incumbency advantages in early primary positioning. Marco Rubio's 21% reflects his Florida swing-state strength and Senate Foreign Relations Committee role amid global tensions. With primaries over three years away, post-election cabinet announcements and transition dynamics dominate sentiment, though endorsements, scandals, or midterm results could shift the crowded field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $476.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.