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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.5%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$491,857,831 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.5%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$491,857,831 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$6,879,397 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,628,108 Vol.

21%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,267,193 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$7,964,086 Vol.

3%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,613,032 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump

$6,331,154 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,740,771 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$5,875,761 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$15,986,642 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,353,519 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$5,286,044 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$14,044,728 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$21,710,307 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$9,175,506 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,940,788 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,233,822 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,202,717 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,021,068 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,948,662 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$12,902,478 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,184,577 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,106,323 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,300,382 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$27,978,816 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$28,308,819 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$1,751,466 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$23,379,323 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$1,660,174 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$33,148,270 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$21,399,423 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$15,642,011 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$28,914,564 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$14,702,538 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$10,742,376 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$32,536,343 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his strong HHS secretary performance driving the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement's popularity among GOP base voters through chronic disease initiatives and drug price reductions. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% amid recent dips tied to donor preferences, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio surges to 20.5% following reports President Trump polled major donors at Mar-a-Lago, with most favoring Rubio over Vance. This market diverges from CPAC straw poll results showing Vance leading, highlighting traders' emphasis on cabinet visibility and policy momentum over early surveys ahead of 2026 midterms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his strong HHS secretary performance driving the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement's popularity among GOP base voters through chronic disease initiatives and drug price reductions. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% amid recent dips tied to donor preferences, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio surges to 20.5% following reports President Trump polled major donors at Mar-a-Lago, with most favoring Rubio over Vance. This market diverges from CPAC straw poll results showing Vance leading, highlighting traders' emphasis on cabinet visibility and policy momentum over early surveys ahead of 2026 midterms.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his strong HHS secretary performance driving the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement's popularity among GOP base voters through chronic disease initiatives and drug price reductions. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% amid recent dips tied to donor preferences, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio surges to 20.5% following reports President Trump polled major donors at Mar-a-Lago, with most favoring Rubio over Vance. This market diverges from CPAC straw poll results showing Vance leading, highlighting traders' emphasis on cabinet visibility and policy momentum over early surveys ahead of 2026 midterms.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner at 49% for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his strong HHS secretary performance driving the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement's popularity among GOP base voters through chronic disease initiatives and drug price reductions. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5% amid recent dips tied to donor preferences, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio surges to 20.5% following reports President Trump polled major donors at Mar-a-Lago, with most favoring Rubio over Vance. This market diverges from CPAC straw poll results showing Vance leading, highlighting traders' emphasis on cabinet visibility and policy momentum over early surveys ahead of 2026 midterms.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $491.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.