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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 19.9%

Tucker Carlson 4.7%

Ron DeSantis 2.6%

Polymarket

$515,944,394 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.8%

Marco Rubio 19.9%

Tucker Carlson 4.7%

Ron DeSantis 2.6%

Polymarket

$515,944,394 Vol.

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J.D. Vance

$9,470,103 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$6,854,433 Vol.

20%

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Tucker Carlson

$7,465,161 Vol.

5%

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Ron DeSantis

$9,656,081 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,556,607 Vol.

2%

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Glenn Youngkin

$5,684,605 Vol.

2%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$6,012,411 Vol.

2%

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Thomas Massie

$2,925,867 Vol.

2%

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Rand Paul

$16,461,232 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$10,630,243 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,989,548 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$5,465,633 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$7,662,236 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$23,510,237 Vol.

1%

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Ted Cruz

$14,688,312 Vol.

1%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$4,115,695 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,624,189 Vol.

1%

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Brian Kemp

$13,292,445 Vol.

1%

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Matt Gaetz

$15,462,058 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,389,566 Vol.

1%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,335,494 Vol.

1%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$11,193,021 Vol.

1%

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Tom Brady

$28,751,755 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,181,936 Vol.

1%

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Elise Stefanik

$22,190,586 Vol.

1%

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Josh Hawley

$16,327,777 Vol.

1%

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Katie Britt

$24,787,336 Vol.

1%

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John Thune

$29,589,104 Vol.

1%

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Kristi Noem

$28,789,906 Vol.

1%

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Joe Kent

$2,455,226 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$15,604,863 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$23,735,768 Vol.

1%

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Byron Donalds

$34,246,204 Vol.

1%

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Erika Kirk

$12,116,438 Vol.

1%

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Mike Pence

$34,728,172 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his prominent role advancing the Make America Healthy Again initiative amid CDC turmoil and vaccine skepticism resonating with the GOP base, plus lingering speculation from family members like cousin Jack Schlossberg despite Kennedy's denials of a bid. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, buoyed by his MAGA heir status and top 53% finish in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, while Sen. Marco Rubio's 20% reflects recent surges from Wall Street Journal reports of Trump's private donor soundings preferring Rubio's electability over Vance. Term limits preclude Trump's re-run, with 2026 midterms poised to reshape the primary field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$515,944,394
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, driven by his prominent role advancing the Make America Healthy Again initiative amid CDC turmoil and vaccine skepticism resonating with the GOP base, plus lingering speculation from family members like cousin Jack Schlossberg despite Kennedy's denials of a bid. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, buoyed by his MAGA heir status and top 53% finish in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, while Sen. Marco Rubio's 20% reflects recent surges from Wall Street Journal reports of Trump's private donor soundings preferring Rubio's electability over Vance. Term limits preclude Trump's re-run, with 2026 midterms poised to reshape the primary field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$515,944,394
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $515.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.