Recent Emerson (March 21-23) and Saint Anselm (March 16-18) polls show Rep. Chris Pappas leading former Sen. John Sununu 45%-44% and 46%-43% in New Hampshire's open Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, with Pappas holding wider margins over GOP rival Scott Brown. Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65% and outraised the entire Republican field combined ($2.27 million in Q4 2025), bolstering his path-to-victory amid New Hampshire's independent-heavy electorate despite recent GOP registration gains. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, but trader consensus prices Democrats' polling edge, fundraising superiority, and historical federal lean as an 76% implied probability of victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de New Hampshire
$15,613 Vol.
$15,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
79%
Republicano
22%
$15,613 Vol.
$15,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
$10,509 Vol.
79%
Republicano
$5,104 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson (March 21-23) and Saint Anselm (March 16-18) polls show Rep. Chris Pappas leading former Sen. John Sununu 45%-44% and 46%-43% in New Hampshire's open Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, with Pappas holding wider margins over GOP rival Scott Brown. Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65% and outraised the entire Republican field combined ($2.27 million in Q4 2025), bolstering his path-to-victory amid New Hampshire's independent-heavy electorate despite recent GOP registration gains. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, but trader consensus prices Democrats' polling edge, fundraising superiority, and historical federal lean as an 76% implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$15,613Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent Emerson (March 21-23) and Saint Anselm (March 16-18) polls show Rep. Chris Pappas leading former Sen. John Sununu 45%-44% and 46%-43% in New Hampshire's open Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, with Pappas holding wider margins over GOP rival Scott Brown. Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65% and outraised the entire Republican field combined ($2.27 million in Q4 2025), bolstering his path-to-victory amid New Hampshire's independent-heavy electorate despite recent GOP registration gains. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, but trader consensus prices Democrats' polling edge, fundraising superiority, and historical federal lean as an 76% implied probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$15,613Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Emerson (March 21-23) and Saint Anselm (March 16-18) polls show Rep. Chris Pappas leading former Sen. John Sununu 45%-44% and 46%-43% in New Hampshire's open Senate race to succeed retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, with Pappas holding wider margins over GOP rival Scott Brown. Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65% and outraised the entire Republican field combined ($2.27 million in Q4 2025), bolstering his path-to-victory amid New Hampshire's independent-heavy electorate despite recent GOP registration gains. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, but trader consensus prices Democrats' polling edge, fundraising superiority, and historical federal lean as an 76% implied probability of victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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