Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.5%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$491,908,787 Vol.

J.D. Vance 36.5%

Marco Rubio 20.5%

Tucker Carlson 5.0%

Ron DeSantis 2.9%

Polymarket

$491,908,787 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$6,881,091 Vol.

37%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$6,628,869 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$7,267,300 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$7,966,318 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$5,613,074 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,331,154 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$2,740,773 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,875,761 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$15,986,642 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$12,354,719 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$5,286,044 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$14,052,983 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$21,720,073 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$9,176,493 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$3,940,788 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$7,234,625 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Greg Abbott

$17,203,239 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$28,021,068 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$10,948,722 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$12,902,478 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$4,106,908 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$24,300,382 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$27,978,816 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$28,308,883 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Joe Kent

$1,751,466 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$23,380,317 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$15,205,309 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Pete Hegseth

$1,660,996 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$33,149,369 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elise Stefanik

$21,400,179 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Josh Hawley

$15,642,196 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Thune

$28,914,564 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$14,703,070 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$10,743,557 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$32,536,815 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus on Polymarket at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role advancing Make America Healthy Again priorities and recent family speculation about a White House bid, including cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion he will "definitely" run. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5%, reflecting incumbency advantages tempered by early low-popularity polling, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% share has climbed amid donor preferences voiced to President Trump and his visibility during Iran tensions. With no primaries until 2027, markets price early cabinet performances and post-Trump succession dynamics, where RFK Jr.'s outsider appeal and policy momentum drive the closely contested positioning.

Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus on Polymarket at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role advancing Make America Healthy Again priorities and recent family speculation about a White House bid, including cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion he will "definitely" run. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5%, reflecting incumbency advantages tempered by early low-popularity polling, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% share has climbed amid donor preferences voiced to President Trump and his visibility during Iran tensions. With no primaries until 2027, markets price early cabinet performances and post-Trump succession dynamics, where RFK Jr.'s outsider appeal and policy momentum drive the closely contested positioning.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus on Polymarket at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role advancing Make America Healthy Again priorities and recent family speculation about a White House bid, including cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion he will "definitely" run. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5%, reflecting incumbency advantages tempered by early low-popularity polling, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% share has climbed amid donor preferences voiced to President Trump and his visibility during Iran tensions. With no primaries until 2027, markets price early cabinet performances and post-Trump succession dynamics, where RFK Jr.'s outsider appeal and policy momentum drive the closely contested positioning.

Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus on Polymarket at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, buoyed by his high-profile role advancing Make America Healthy Again priorities and recent family speculation about a White House bid, including cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 assertion he will "definitely" run. Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 36.5%, reflecting incumbency advantages tempered by early low-popularity polling, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% share has climbed amid donor preferences voiced to President Trump and his visibility during Iran tensions. With no primaries until 2027, markets price early cabinet performances and post-Trump succession dynamics, where RFK Jr.'s outsider appeal and policy momentum drive the closely contested positioning.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $491.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.