Recent polls, including the EVITARUS survey released March 24 showing Republicans Steve Hilton (16%) and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco (14%) leading a splintered Democratic field clustered at 10% each for Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, drive trader consensus toward a Democrat-Republican top-two primary matchup at 68% for California's June 2 nonpartisan primary. The eight major Democratic candidates fragment the vote in the deep-blue state, boosting the two prominent Republicans into contention, while 24-25% undecided voters and prior Emerson polling (Swalwell leading March 11) sustain a 25% chance for Dem-Dem advancement amid consolidation pressures. Rep-Rep at 8% reflects structural barriers despite recent polling leads.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoDem-Rep 68%
Dem-Dem 25%
Rep-Rep 7.8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
Dem-Rep
68%
Dem-Dem
25%
Rep-Rep
8%
Dem-Rep 68%
Dem-Dem 25%
Rep-Rep 7.8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 2, 2026
Dem-Rep
$0 Vol.
68%
Dem-Dem
$0 Vol.
25%
Rep-Rep
$0 Vol.
8%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including the EVITARUS survey released March 24 showing Republicans Steve Hilton (16%) and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco (14%) leading a splintered Democratic field clustered at 10% each for Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, drive trader consensus toward a Democrat-Republican top-two primary matchup at 68% for California's June 2 nonpartisan primary. The eight major Democratic candidates fragment the vote in the deep-blue state, boosting the two prominent Republicans into contention, while 24-25% undecided voters and prior Emerson polling (Swalwell leading March 11) sustain a 25% chance for Dem-Dem advancement amid consolidation pressures. Rep-Rep at 8% reflects structural barriers despite recent polling leads.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Jun 2, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including the EVITARUS survey released March 24 showing Republicans Steve Hilton (16%) and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco (14%) leading a splintered Democratic field clustered at 10% each for Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, drive trader consensus toward a Democrat-Republican top-two primary matchup at 68% for California's June 2 nonpartisan primary. The eight major Democratic candidates fragment the vote in the deep-blue state, boosting the two prominent Republicans into contention, while 24-25% undecided voters and prior Emerson polling (Swalwell leading March 11) sustain a 25% chance for Dem-Dem advancement amid consolidation pressures. Rep-Rep at 8% reflects structural barriers despite recent polling leads.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Jun 2, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including the EVITARUS survey released March 24 showing Republicans Steve Hilton (16%) and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco (14%) leading a splintered Democratic field clustered at 10% each for Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer, drive trader consensus toward a Democrat-Republican top-two primary matchup at 68% for California's June 2 nonpartisan primary. The eight major Democratic candidates fragment the vote in the deep-blue state, boosting the two prominent Republicans into contention, while 24-25% undecided voters and prior Emerson polling (Swalwell leading March 11) sustain a 25% chance for Dem-Dem advancement amid consolidation pressures. Rep-Rep at 8% reflects structural barriers despite recent polling leads.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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