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Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elecciones·Primaria De Pensilvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 70%

Ryan Crosswell 15%

Lamont McClure 9%

Lewis Shupe 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks 70%

Ryan Crosswell 15%

Lamont McClure 9%

Lewis Shupe 5.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Bob Brooks

$0 Vol.

70%

Ryan Crosswell

$0 Vol.

15%

Lamont McClure

$0 Vol.

9%

Lewis Shupe

$1,284 Vol.

5%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$2,793 Vol.

5%

Aiden Gonzalez

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks leads trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to his strong union credentials as Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president, bolstered by high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and groups like SEIU and Working Families Party. Recent consolidation to four major candidates—after Mark Pinsley's February dropout and others exiting—has concentrated support behind Brooks, amplified by a March 28 independent expenditure of $52,000 supporting him and his early March petition filing with nearly 2,000 signatures. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% after biographical information amid 53% initial undecideds, reflecting working-class appeal in the Lehigh Valley battleground ahead of the May 19 primary. Ryan Crosswell trails with robust fundraising and Marine-prosecutor background, while Lamont McClure and Carol Obando-Derstine draw on local executive experience and EMILY's List backing, respectively.

Bob Brooks leads trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to his strong union credentials as Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president, bolstered by high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and groups like SEIU and Working Families Party. Recent consolidation to four major candidates—after Mark Pinsley's February dropout and others exiting—has concentrated support behind Brooks, amplified by a March 28 independent expenditure of $52,000 supporting him and his early March petition filing with nearly 2,000 signatures. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% after biographical information amid 53% initial undecideds, reflecting working-class appeal in the Lehigh Valley battleground ahead of the May 19 primary. Ryan Crosswell trails with robust fundraising and Marine-prosecutor background, while Lamont McClure and Carol Obando-Derstine draw on local executive experience and EMILY's List backing, respectively.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks leads trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to his strong union credentials as Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president, bolstered by high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and groups like SEIU and Working Families Party. Recent consolidation to four major candidates—after Mark Pinsley's February dropout and others exiting—has concentrated support behind Brooks, amplified by a March 28 independent expenditure of $52,000 supporting him and his early March petition filing with nearly 2,000 signatures. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% after biographical information amid 53% initial undecideds, reflecting working-class appeal in the Lehigh Valley battleground ahead of the May 19 primary. Ryan Crosswell trails with robust fundraising and Marine-prosecutor background, while Lamont McClure and Carol Obando-Derstine draw on local executive experience and EMILY's List backing, respectively.

Bob Brooks leads trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary due to his strong union credentials as Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters Association president, bolstered by high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and groups like SEIU and Working Families Party. Recent consolidation to four major candidates—after Mark Pinsley's February dropout and others exiting—has concentrated support behind Brooks, amplified by a March 28 independent expenditure of $52,000 supporting him and his early March petition filing with nearly 2,000 signatures. A Change Research survey showed Brooks surging to 30% after biographical information amid 53% initial undecideds, reflecting working-class appeal in the Lehigh Valley battleground ahead of the May 19 primary. Ryan Crosswell trails with robust fundraising and Marine-prosecutor background, while Lamont McClure and Carol Obando-Derstine draw on local executive experience and EMILY's List backing, respectively.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bob Brooks" con 70%, seguido de "Ryan Crosswell" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Bob Brooks" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ryan Crosswell" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.