Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing urban Columbus with a D+21 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House election win on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent 70% victories by incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty in recent cycles. Following October 2025 redistricting, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, bolstered by Beatty's $2.7 million cash-on-hand versus minimal opposition fundraising. Ahead of May 5 primaries, Beatty faces engineer Joe Gerard in the Democratic contest, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney—the sole GOP entrant and a prior low-performing primary candidate—lacks viability. Challengers to this outlook include a Beatty primary upset, personal scandal or health issue, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave altering Ohio turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-03
$16,692 Vol.
$16,692 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$16,692 Vol.
$16,692 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,692 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing urban Columbus with a D+21 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House election win on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent 70% victories by incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty in recent cycles. Following October 2025 redistricting, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, bolstered by Beatty's $2.7 million cash-on-hand versus minimal opposition fundraising. Ahead of May 5 primaries, Beatty faces engineer Joe Gerard in the Democratic contest, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney—the sole GOP entrant and a prior low-performing primary candidate—lacks viability. Challengers to this outlook include a Beatty primary upset, personal scandal or health issue, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave altering Ohio turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$16,692Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing urban Columbus with a D+21 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House election win on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent 70% victories by incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty in recent cycles. Following October 2025 redistricting, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, bolstered by Beatty's $2.7 million cash-on-hand versus minimal opposition fundraising. Ahead of May 5 primaries, Beatty faces engineer Joe Gerard in the Democratic contest, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney—the sole GOP entrant and a prior low-performing primary candidate—lacks viability. Challengers to this outlook include a Beatty primary upset, personal scandal or health issue, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave altering Ohio turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,692Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing urban Columbus with a D+21 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic House election win on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent 70% victories by incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty in recent cycles. Following October 2025 redistricting, forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Democratic, bolstered by Beatty's $2.7 million cash-on-hand versus minimal opposition fundraising. Ahead of May 5 primaries, Beatty faces engineer Joe Gerard in the Democratic contest, while Republican Cleophus Dulaney—the sole GOP entrant and a prior low-performing primary candidate—lacks viability. Challengers to this outlook include a Beatty primary upset, personal scandal or health issue, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave altering Ohio turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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