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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10

Brad Lander 77%

Dan Goldman 19%

Yuh-Line Niou 3.1%

Cameron Kasky 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Brad Lander 77%

Dan Goldman 19%

Yuh-Line Niou 3.1%

Cameron Kasky 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Brad Lander

$1,538 Vol.

77%

Dan Goldman

$1,019 Vol.

19%

Yuh-Line Niou

$557 Vol.

3%

Cameron Kasky

$611 Vol.

3%

Alexa Avilés

$825 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander's high lead in trader consensus for the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from his December 2025 campaign launch challenging incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, bolstered by progressive endorsements including from incoming Mayor Zohran Mamdani and support from Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. A Supreme Court ruling on March 3 preserved district lines, solidifying the June 23 primary matchup, while Lander's recent March 23 NY1 appearance criticizing "status quo Democrats" and his call for a "People’s Pledge" against dark money—highlighting Goldman's $370,000 from AIPAC this cycle—has intensified scrutiny on the incumbent amid the district's left-leaning electorate. Goldman counters with union backing like DC37 and club endorsements, but traders see Lander's momentum from 2025 local races as the key driver, with minor candidates trailing far behind.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Brad Lander" con 77%, seguido de "Dan Goldman" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" es "Brad Lander" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Goldman" con 19%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas de NY-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.