Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting calm weather forecasts nationwide and a string of recent low-disruption days, with March 24 reporting under 6000 delays per Bureau of Transportation Statistics data amid resolved winter storm effects and stabilized airline staffing. Air traffic control operations at major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York remain routine without FAA ground stop alerts or system outages, unlike earlier 2024 incidents. This commanding position stems from FlightAware and DOT metrics showing delays averaging 10-15% of daily 45,000 flights lately, well below historical peaks. Realistic challengers include sudden nor'easters, mechanical failures at key carriers like Southwest or Delta, or unexpected air traffic controller shortages, though probabilities of such events appear minimal based on current National Weather Service outlooks and no labor alerts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US flights delayed on March 25?
Number of US flights delayed on March 25?
<8000 98.6%
9000-9500 1.4%
10500-11000 1.0%
8000-8500 1.0%
$16,297 Vol.
$16,297 Vol.
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
<8000 98.6%
9000-9500 1.4%
10500-11000 1.0%
8000-8500 1.0%
$16,297 Vol.
$16,297 Vol.
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting calm weather forecasts nationwide and a string of recent low-disruption days, with March 24 reporting under 6000 delays per Bureau of Transportation Statistics data amid resolved winter storm effects and stabilized airline staffing. Air traffic control operations at major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York remain routine without FAA ground stop alerts or system outages, unlike earlier 2024 incidents. This commanding position stems from FlightAware and DOT metrics showing delays averaging 10-15% of daily 45,000 flights lately, well below historical peaks. Realistic challengers include sudden nor'easters, mechanical failures at key carriers like Southwest or Delta, or unexpected air traffic controller shortages, though probabilities of such events appear minimal based on current National Weather Service outlooks and no labor alerts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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