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Política·Cultura

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Market icon
Política·Cultura

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<2.6M 98.0%

2.6M-2.8M 1.5%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$7,773 Vol.

<2.6M 98.0%

2.6M-2.8M 1.5%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

3.0M-3.2M <1%

Polymarket

$7,773 Vol.

<2.6M

$708 Vol.

98%

2.6M-2.8M

$379 Vol.

2%

2.8M-3.0M

$3,132 Vol.

1%

3.0M-3.2M

$1,198 Vol.

<1%

3.2M-3.4M

$1,320 Vol.

<1%

>3.4M

$1,036 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers on March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by the ongoing partial government shutdown crippling airport operations. Recent days reflect sharp declines amid record-breaking wait times—up to five hours at major hubs—after over 480 TSA officers quit and callout rates hit 40-50%, deterring leisure travel post-spring break peak. Official throughput plummeted to 2.19 million on March 24 and 2.38 million on March 25, rebounding slightly to 2.72 million on March 26, but sustained chaos including ICE agent deployments signals continued suppression. An upset into 2.6M+ would require unexpected surge from resolved staffing or pent-up Easter weekend demand (April 5), though historical weekend patterns and current avoidance trends make this improbable as the official tally posts Friday.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers on March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by the ongoing partial government shutdown crippling airport operations. Recent days reflect sharp declines amid record-breaking wait times—up to five hours at major hubs—after over 480 TSA officers quit and callout rates hit 40-50%, deterring leisure travel post-spring break peak. Official throughput plummeted to 2.19 million on March 24 and 2.38 million on March 25, rebounding slightly to 2.72 million on March 26, but sustained chaos including ICE agent deployments signals continued suppression. An upset into 2.6M+ would require unexpected surge from resolved staffing or pent-up Easter weekend demand (April 5), though historical weekend patterns and current avoidance trends make this improbable as the official tally posts Friday.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers on March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by the ongoing partial government shutdown crippling airport operations. Recent days reflect sharp declines amid record-breaking wait times—up to five hours at major hubs—after over 480 TSA officers quit and callout rates hit 40-50%, deterring leisure travel post-spring break peak. Official throughput plummeted to 2.19 million on March 24 and 2.38 million on March 25, rebounding slightly to 2.72 million on March 26, but sustained chaos including ICE agent deployments signals continued suppression. An upset into 2.6M+ would require unexpected surge from resolved staffing or pent-up Easter weekend demand (April 5), though historical weekend patterns and current avoidance trends make this improbable as the official tally posts Friday.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers on March 28 at 98.1% implied probability, driven by the ongoing partial government shutdown crippling airport operations. Recent days reflect sharp declines amid record-breaking wait times—up to five hours at major hubs—after over 480 TSA officers quit and callout rates hit 40-50%, deterring leisure travel post-spring break peak. Official throughput plummeted to 2.19 million on March 24 and 2.38 million on March 25, rebounding slightly to 2.72 million on March 26, but sustained chaos including ICE agent deployments signals continued suppression. An upset into 2.6M+ would require unexpected surge from resolved staffing or pent-up Easter weekend demand (April 5), though historical weekend patterns and current avoidance trends make this improbable as the official tally posts Friday.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<2.6M" con 98%, seguido de "2.6M-2.8M" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 23, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of TSA Passengers March 28?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" es "<2.6M" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "2.6M-2.8M" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of TSA Passengers March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.