Trader consensus heavily favors 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint screenings for March 23-29 at 91%, driven by official data showing 9.94 million travelers screened through March 26—averaging 2.5 million daily amid peak spring break demand. Volumes held steady despite a prolonged DHS funding lapse causing record officer callouts (up to 50% at some airports), over 450 quits, and four-hour-plus lines, as essential screening continued without major closures. A recent executive order directing TSA pay has eased some pressures, supporting projections for weekend days around 2.5-2.7 million each to hit the range. Challenges include further staffing collapses triggering checkpoint shutdowns or traveler deterrence, though no such breakdowns have materialized yet.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado17.5-18m 84%
<17.5m 12.0%
18-18.5m 1.0%
18.5-19m <1%
$20,274 Vol.
$20,274 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
<17.5m
7%
17.5-18m
91%
18-18.5m
1%
18.5-19m
<1%
19-19.5m
<1%
>19.5m
<1%
17.5-18m 84%
<17.5m 12.0%
18-18.5m 1.0%
18.5-19m <1%
$20,274 Vol.
$20,274 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
<17.5m
$560 Vol.
7%
17.5-18m
$17,847 Vol.
91%
18-18.5m
$1,006 Vol.
1%
18.5-19m
$861 Vol.
<1%
19-19.5m
$0 Vol.
<1%
>19.5m
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint screenings for March 23-29 at 91%, driven by official data showing 9.94 million travelers screened through March 26—averaging 2.5 million daily amid peak spring break demand. Volumes held steady despite a prolonged DHS funding lapse causing record officer callouts (up to 50% at some airports), over 450 quits, and four-hour-plus lines, as essential screening continued without major closures. A recent executive order directing TSA pay has eased some pressures, supporting projections for weekend days around 2.5-2.7 million each to hit the range. Challenges include further staffing collapses triggering checkpoint shutdowns or traveler deterrence, though no such breakdowns have materialized yet.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Volumen
$20,274Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint screenings for March 23-29 at 91%, driven by official data showing 9.94 million travelers screened through March 26—averaging 2.5 million daily amid peak spring break demand. Volumes held steady despite a prolonged DHS funding lapse causing record officer callouts (up to 50% at some airports), over 450 quits, and four-hour-plus lines, as essential screening continued without major closures. A recent executive order directing TSA pay has eased some pressures, supporting projections for weekend days around 2.5-2.7 million each to hit the range. Challenges include further staffing collapses triggering checkpoint shutdowns or traveler deterrence, though no such breakdowns have materialized yet.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 23, 2026 and March 29, 2026 (inclusive).
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$20,274Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint screenings for March 23-29 at 91%, driven by official data showing 9.94 million travelers screened through March 26—averaging 2.5 million daily amid peak spring break demand. Volumes held steady despite a prolonged DHS funding lapse causing record officer callouts (up to 50% at some airports), over 450 quits, and four-hour-plus lines, as essential screening continued without major closures. A recent executive order directing TSA pay has eased some pressures, supporting projections for weekend days around 2.5-2.7 million each to hit the range. Challenges include further staffing collapses triggering checkpoint shutdowns or traveler deterrence, though no such breakdowns have materialized yet.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes